NYJJets
-
37
TBD
New Era Field
86°F
6 mph
31
BUFBills
-
TBD
New Era Field
86°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Jets
0
17
3
11
6
37
Bills
3
14
7
7
0
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
268
384
Total Plays
48
75
Yards / Play
5.6
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.28
+0.04
Passing Yards
195
242
Comp/Att
24/31(77%)
26/39(67%)
Yards / Pass
6.3
6.2
EPA / Pass
+0.20
+0.03
Rushing Yards
73
142
Rush Attempts
14
32
Yards / Rush
5.2
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.62
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
26
Passing 1st downs
11
13
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
5
3rd Down %
25%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
8
17
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-4.82
-12.90
Sacks
3
4
Sack Yards
-17
-29
Sack EPA
-4.36
-5.58
Penalties
10
10
Penalty Yards
90
82
Penalty EPA
-13.11
-7.70
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
27
Yards / Game
23
14
Passing Yards / Game
13
6
Rushing Yards / Game
21
29
EPA
EPA / Play
3
26
EPA / Pass
4
17
EPA / Rush
13
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
7
2
Interceptions / Game
2
26
Fumbles / Game
9
24
Turnover EPA / Game
29
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
9
4th Down Efficiency
29
11
RZ Efficiency
3
32
Bills Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
9
Yards / Game
9
22
Passing Yards / Game
1
15
Rushing Yards / Game
23
17
EPA
EPA / Play
11
20
EPA / Pass
7
25
EPA / Rush
22
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
20
Interceptions / Game
12
19
Fumbles / Game
21
27
Turnover EPA / Game
5
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
27
4th Down Efficiency
11
23
RZ Efficiency
15
6
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U