NYJJets
2-3
17
TBD
New Era Field
52°F
15 mph
27
BUFBills
2-3
TBD
New Era Field
52°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
0
10
7
0
17
Bills
7
10
7
3
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
275
341
Total Plays
52
66
Yards / Play
5.3
5.2
EPA / Play
-0.05
+0.10
Passing Yards
126
164
Comp/Att
12/26(46%)
18/26(69%)
Yards / Pass
4.8
6.3
EPA / Pass
-0.48
-0.00
Rushing Yards
149
177
Rush Attempts
21
39
Yards / Rush
7.1
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.12
+0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
24
Passing 1st downs
7
8
Rushing 1st downs
7
13
Penalty 1st downs
3
3
3rd Down %
30%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
10
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-12.91
-7.55
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-35
-8
Sack EPA
-7.24
-1.40
Penalties
7
13
Penalty Yards
50
99
Penalty EPA
-4.86
-12.46
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
24
Yards / Game
31
29
Passing Yards / Game
19
27
Rushing Yards / Game
31
30
EPA
EPA / Play
25
30
EPA / Pass
30
26
EPA / Rush
21
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
12
Interceptions / Game
11
11
Fumbles / Game
30
9
Turnover EPA / Game
7
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
32
4th Down Efficiency
20
23
RZ Efficiency
24
32
Bills Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
22
Yards / Game
29
12
Passing Yards / Game
22
10
Rushing Yards / Game
21
29
EPA
EPA / Play
17
25
EPA / Pass
21
13
EPA / Rush
23
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
2
Interceptions / Game
17
5
Fumbles / Game
8
27
Turnover EPA / Game
22
11
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
29
4th Down Efficiency
24
32
RZ Efficiency
30
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U