NYJJets
5-7
6
TBD
New Era Field
30°F
12 mph
17
BUFBills
5-7
TBD
New Era Field
30°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
3
0
3
0
6
Bills
0
7
7
3
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
215
256
Total Plays
60
58
Yards / Play
3.6
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.19
-0.03
Passing Yards
127
53
Comp/Att
15/29(52%)
9/15(60%)
Yards / Pass
4.4
3.5
EPA / Pass
-0.33
-0.41
Rushing Yards
88
203
Rush Attempts
26
41
Yards / Rush
3.4
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.06
+0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
19
Passing 1st downs
8
4
Rushing 1st downs
6
14
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
38%
22%
3rd Down Conversions
6
2
3rd Down Attempts
16
9
Red Zone %
0%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-3.23
-8.18
Sacks
5
2
Sack Yards
-28
-19
Sack EPA
-7.42
-3.04
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
54
23
Penalty EPA
-3.22
-1.61
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
5
Yards / Game
19
2
Passing Yards / Game
20
10
Rushing Yards / Game
27
7
EPA
EPA / Play
11
8
EPA / Pass
11
7
EPA / Rush
17
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
1
Interceptions / Game
9
30
Fumbles / Game
3
25
Turnover EPA / Game
29
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
16
4th Down Efficiency
20
21
RZ Efficiency
16
17
Bills Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
9
Yards / Game
30
21
Passing Yards / Game
22
14
Rushing Yards / Game
22
28
EPA
EPA / Play
28
24
EPA / Pass
27
21
EPA / Rush
21
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
23
20
Interceptions / Game
15
29
Fumbles / Game
28
25
Turnover EPA / Game
4
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
25
4th Down Efficiency
15
16
RZ Efficiency
20
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
3-7
SU
2-6-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U