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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. jets @ browns week 8, 2006

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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NYJ logo
NYJJets
4-3
13
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
46°F
12 mph
20
CLEBrowns
1-5
CLE logo
TBD
FirstEnergy Stadium
46°F
12 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
3
0
7
3
13
Browns
3
7
10
0
20

Game Statistics

General
Jets logo
Browns logo
Total Yards
193
267
Total Plays
56
64
Yards / Play
3.4
4.2
EPA / Play
-0.11
-0.02
Passing Yards
105
120
Comp/Att
11/28(39%)
15/22(68%)
Yards / Pass
3.8
5.5
EPA / Pass
-0.32
-0.13
Rushing Yards
88
147
Rush Attempts
27
39
Yards / Rush
3.3
3.8
EPA / Rush
-0.30
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
Jets logo
Browns logo
1st Downs
12
16
Passing 1st downs
7
8
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
38%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
5
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
17
Red Zone %
0%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Jets logo
Browns logo
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-11.87
-2.02
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-3
-21
Sack EPA
-0.85
-4.78
Penalties
1
3
Penalty Yards
--
42
Penalty EPA
--
-3.99

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
NYJ logo
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Jets Offense vs Browns Defense
Jets logo
Browns logo

Total

Points / Game
19
23
Yards / Game
24
27
Passing Yards / Game
9
16
Rushing Yards / Game
20
29

EPA

EPA / Play
10
20
EPA / Pass
11
24
EPA / Rush
22
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
12
3
Interceptions / Game
16
10
Fumbles / Game
7
22
Turnover EPA / Game
20
12

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
4
29
4th Down Efficiency
28
8
RZ Efficiency
24
17
Browns Offense vs Jets Defense
Browns logo
Jets logo

Total

Points / Game
30
10
Yards / Game
31
21
Passing Yards / Game
25
22
Rushing Yards / Game
30
23

EPA

EPA / Play
29
25
EPA / Pass
30
13
EPA / Rush
31
31

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
8
17
Interceptions / Game
32
21
Fumbles / Game
28
21
Turnover EPA / Game
3
6

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
27
17
4th Down Efficiency
25
17
RZ Efficiency
18
16

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYJ logo

Jets

5-5
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/18
-4
L
W
P
12/26
-10
L
L
P
01/01
4
W
W
P
09/10
7
W
W
P
09/17
-7
L
L
P
09/24
8
W
W
P
10/01
-3
L
W
P
10/08
-41
L
L
P
10/15
3
W
W
P
10/22
7
W
W
P
CLE logo

Browns

3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
12/11
-3
L
W
P
12/18
2
W
W
P
12/24
-41
L
L
P
01/01
4
W
W
P
09/10
-5
L
L
P
09/17
-17
L
L
P
09/24
-1
L
W
P
10/01
3
W
W
P
10/08
-8
L
L
P
10/22
-10
L
L
P