NYJJets
10-7
17
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
63°F
8 mph
14
LACChargers
13-3
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
63°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
0
0
3
14
17
Chargers
0
7
0
7
14
Spread
+9
Total
UNDER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
262
344
Total Plays
63
60
Yards / Play
4.2
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.08
-0.17
Passing Yards
93
283
Comp/Att
12/23(52%)
27/40(68%)
Yards / Pass
4.0
7.1
EPA / Pass
-0.22
+0.03
Rushing Yards
169
61
Rush Attempts
39
18
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.4
EPA / Rush
-0.07
-0.31
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
18
Passing 1st downs
6
15
Rushing 1st downs
6
2
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
38%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
6
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
13
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
1
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-4.07
-6.51
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-7
-15
Sack EPA
-1.17
-2.58
Penalties
5
10
Penalty Yards
37
87
Penalty EPA
-2.88
-6.68
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
LACChargersFavored
Opening
-9.0
Current
-9.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market77.7%
Model73.3%
Spread Pick
Jets+9.0
Expected Value
+16.7%
Cover Probability
59.7%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+44
Home nfelo
1,540
Away nfelo
1,652
Home Field
+124.6
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+17.9
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+27.6
Home QB Adjustment
+13.5
Away QB Adjustment
-14.1
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
175.1
Model Spread
-7.0
Quarterbacks
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-14.1
P. Rivers
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+13.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Chargers Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
10
Yards / Game
20
12
Passing Yards / Game
32
26
Rushing Yards / Game
1
21
EPA
EPA / Play
20
23
EPA / Pass
25
19
EPA / Rush
6
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
25
Interceptions / Game
27
20
Fumbles / Game
17
14
Turnover EPA / Game
21
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
22
4th Down Efficiency
1
20
RZ Efficiency
16
18
Chargers Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
1
Yards / Game
10
1
Passing Yards / Game
4
2
Rushing Yards / Game
31
7
EPA
EPA / Play
1
1
EPA / Pass
1
1
EPA / Rush
28
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
26
Interceptions / Game
6
14
Fumbles / Game
3
18
Turnover EPA / Game
32
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
1
4th Down Efficiency
13
3
RZ Efficiency
10
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
5-4-1
O/U
Chargers
10-0
SU
6-3-1
ATS
6-4
O/U