NYJJets
2-6
24
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
42°F
30 mph
17
NEPatriots
6-2
TBD
Foxboro Stadium
42°F
30 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
0
21
0
3
24
Patriots
0
3
0
14
17
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
341
229
Total Plays
73
58
Yards / Play
4.7
3.9
EPA / Play
+0.01
-0.14
Passing Yards
--
150
Comp/Att
18/31(58%)
15/36(42%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.2
EPA / Pass
+0.12
-0.39
Rushing Yards
188
79
Rush Attempts
43
20
Yards / Rush
4.4
4.0
EPA / Rush
-0.08
-0.19
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
16
Passing 1st downs
8
9
Rushing 1st downs
10
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
45%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
9
3
3rd Down Attempts
20
12
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
3
Interceptions
2
3
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-6.73
-8.90
Sacks
--
3
Sack Yards
--
-20
Sack EPA
--
-3.51
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
93
35
Penalty EPA
-10.02
-1.87
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
5
Yards / Game
24
7
Passing Yards / Game
25
3
Rushing Yards / Game
11
20
EPA
EPA / Play
10
8
EPA / Pass
10
13
EPA / Rush
15
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
3
Interceptions / Game
12
18
Fumbles / Game
1
7
Turnover EPA / Game
31
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
15
4th Down Efficiency
14
5
RZ Efficiency
26
15
Patriots Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
20
9
Yards / Game
18
21
Passing Yards / Game
4
16
Rushing Yards / Game
22
17
EPA
EPA / Play
22
20
EPA / Pass
20
15
EPA / Rush
24
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
19
Interceptions / Game
26
6
Fumbles / Game
13
16
Turnover EPA / Game
12
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
29
4th Down Efficiency
25
17
RZ Efficiency
27
7
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
2-6
SU
2-6
ATS
0-0-8
O/U
Patriots
6-2
SU
3-4-1
ATS
0-0-8
O/U