NYJJets
6-3
34
TBD
Gillette Stadium
44°F
6 mph
31
NEPatriots
6-3
TBD
Gillette Stadium
44°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Jets
10
14
0
7
3
34
Patriots
3
10
8
10
0
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
375
513
Total Plays
75
80
Yards / Play
5.0
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.29
+0.21
Passing Yards
235
388
Comp/Att
26/33(79%)
30/52(58%)
Yards / Pass
7.1
7.5
EPA / Pass
+0.45
+0.26
Rushing Yards
140
125
Rush Attempts
39
25
Yards / Rush
3.6
5.0
EPA / Rush
-0.12
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
26
Passing 1st downs
16
18
Rushing 1st downs
4
7
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
56%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
9
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
60%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
5
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-3.07
-4.39
Sacks
3
3
Sack Yards
-23
-14
Sack EPA
-4.56
-4.81
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
25
29
Penalty EPA
-2.52
-4.67
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
8
Yards / Game
16
10
Passing Yards / Game
19
12
Rushing Yards / Game
9
16
EPA
EPA / Play
9
20
EPA / Pass
14
27
EPA / Rush
3
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
5
Interceptions / Game
32
15
Fumbles / Game
4
22
Turnover EPA / Game
6
8
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
13
27
4th Down Efficiency
11
2
RZ Efficiency
17
32
Patriots Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
18
Yards / Game
5
17
Passing Yards / Game
4
25
Rushing Yards / Game
5
7
EPA
EPA / Play
2
12
EPA / Pass
9
15
EPA / Rush
1
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
19
Interceptions / Game
4
15
Fumbles / Game
12
2
Turnover EPA / Game
24
28
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
15
4th Down Efficiency
2
30
RZ Efficiency
18
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U