NYJJets
10-6
16
TBD
Gillette Stadium
50°F
8 mph
37
NEPatriots
12-4
TBD
Gillette Stadium
50°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
3
7
3
3
16
Patriots
7
10
6
8
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
347
358
Total Plays
60
73
Yards / Play
5.8
4.9
EPA / Play
-0.10
+0.17
Passing Yards
277
200
Comp/Att
24/41(59%)
22/34(65%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
5.9
EPA / Pass
-0.11
+0.27
Rushing Yards
70
158
Rush Attempts
16
38
Yards / Rush
4.4
4.2
EPA / Rush
-0.23
-0.07
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
26
Passing 1st downs
12
12
Rushing 1st downs
3
13
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
27%
69%
3rd Down Conversions
3
11
3rd Down Attempts
11
16
Red Zone %
0%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-14.05
-4.92
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-22
-12
Sack EPA
-4.69
-1.83
Penalties
4
7
Penalty Yards
47
59
Penalty EPA
-4.54
-6.68
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
2
Yards / Game
24
10
Passing Yards / Game
9
30
Rushing Yards / Game
20
5
EPA
EPA / Play
10
6
EPA / Pass
11
5
EPA / Rush
22
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
24
Interceptions / Game
16
4
Fumbles / Game
7
12
Turnover EPA / Game
20
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
4
10
4th Down Efficiency
28
2
RZ Efficiency
24
3
Patriots Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
10
Yards / Game
11
21
Passing Yards / Game
16
22
Rushing Yards / Game
14
23
EPA
EPA / Play
4
25
EPA / Pass
6
13
EPA / Rush
11
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
17
Interceptions / Game
10
21
Fumbles / Game
25
21
Turnover EPA / Game
27
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
17
4th Down Efficiency
1
17
RZ Efficiency
3
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U