NYJJets
0-1
20
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
70°F
6 mph
45
OAKRaiders
1-0
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
70°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
0
10
3
7
20
Raiders
7
14
7
17
45
Spread
-14
Total
OVER
44
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
271
410
Total Plays
53
55
Yards / Play
5.1
7.5
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.55
Passing Yards
145
--
Comp/Att
16/24(67%)
23/28(82%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
--
EPA / Pass
-0.04
+0.60
Rushing Yards
126
180
Rush Attempts
25
27
Yards / Rush
5.0
6.7
EPA / Rush
+0.17
+0.22
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
21
Passing 1st downs
9
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
58%
67%
3rd Down Conversions
7
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.66
+5.98
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-21
--
Sack EPA
-11.02
--
Penalties
5
9
Penalty Yards
47
79
Penalty EPA
-5.49
-6.42
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-14.0
Current
-14.0
Model
-14.0
Win Probability
Market87.3%
Model87.1%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+268
Home nfelo
1,534
Away nfelo
1,371
Home Field
+87.8
Base HFA
+57.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.1
Time Adj
+10.3
Net QB Adjustment
+17.0
Home QB Adjustment
+12.4
Away QB Adjustment
-4.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
331.4
Model Spread
-14.0
Quarterbacks
J. McCown
Proj. Value
-2.0
Team Elo Adj
-4.6
D. Carr
Proj. Value
+1.0
Team Elo Adj
+12.4
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
23
20
Yards / Game
28
24
Passing Yards / Game
22
23
Rushing Yards / Game
19
11
EPA
EPA / Play
23
31
EPA / Pass
18
31
EPA / Rush
23
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
30
Interceptions / Game
13
32
Fumbles / Game
23
18
Turnover EPA / Game
20
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
25
4th Down Efficiency
8
30
RZ Efficiency
10
8
Raiders Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
22
Yards / Game
18
26
Passing Yards / Game
30
5
Rushing Yards / Game
25
24
EPA
EPA / Play
15
22
EPA / Pass
16
22
EPA / Rush
22
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
7
Interceptions / Game
20
18
Fumbles / Game
31
8
Turnover EPA / Game
13
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
10
4th Down Efficiency
27
14
RZ Efficiency
8
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Raiders
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U