nfelo logo

nfelo

Live
Platform
Kalshi
$10

$10 Bonus

Receive $10 when you sign up with Kalshi prediction market

Affiliate Disclosure: Some of the links and placements on this site may be affiliate links or paid partnerships. This means nfelo may receive compensation when you click these links or sign up for a partner’s service.

Offer Disclosure: Offers are for informational purposes only. Age, location, and other restrictions may apply. nfelo does not validate offer availability. See provider for full terms.

  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. jets @ raiders week 2, 2017

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

nfelo logo

nfelo

Advanced NFL analytics platform powered by the nflfastR dataset and custom open source models.

Analysis
Research and insights that power the nfelo model
About
How nfelo works

Predictions

  • Games
    Game previews and model projections
  • Confidence Pool
    Weekly confidence pool picks
  • Betting Card
    +EV NFL Sides
  • Model Performance
    Historic nfelo model performance

Teams

  • Power Ratings
    Team Power Ratings
  • EPA Tiers
    Offensive and Defensive EPA Tiers
  • Tendencies
    Pass rates, formations, and play styles
  • Strength of Schedule
    Projected and realized opponent quality
  • Win Totals
    Win total projections and results

QBs

  • QB Rankings
    QB Elo, EPA, Ratings, and Stats
  • Era Adjusted Elo
    QB Elo model adjusted for era

Tools & More

  • Receiving Leaders
    Advanced stats for receivers
  • Head Coaches
    Stats and ATS Records for Coaches
  • HFA Tracker
    Home Field Advantage for every team
  • NFL Odds Calculator
    Calculate and convert betting odds
  • Cover Probability
    Calculate EV for spreads
  • Sportsbook Hold
    Calculate the hold for odds
  • Hedge Calculator
    Calculate strategy optimal hedge size
  • Parlay Payout Calculator
    Calculate parlay payouts
  • QB Passer Rating Calculator
    Calculate passer rating from stats

© 2025 nfelo. All rights reserved.

Entertainment purposes only. The information contained on nfeloapp.com is not intended to be, and shall not be construed as, gambling advice, financial advice, or any other professional advice or service. nfeloapp.com and its owners assume no responsibility for errors or omissions. Please gamble responsibly.

NYJ logo
NYJJets
0-1
20
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
70°F
6 mph
45
OAKRaiders
1-0
OAK logo
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
70°F
6 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
0
10
3
7
20
Raiders
7
14
7
17
45

Spread

OAK logo
-14

Total

OVER
44

Game Statistics

General
Jets logo
Raiders logo
Total Yards
271
410
Total Plays
53
55
Yards / Play
5.1
7.5
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.55
Passing Yards
145
--
Comp/Att
16/24(67%)
23/28(82%)
Yards / Pass
6.0
--
EPA / Pass
-0.04
+0.60
Rushing Yards
126
180
Rush Attempts
25
27
Yards / Rush
5.0
6.7
EPA / Rush
+0.17
+0.22
Downs & Conversions
Jets logo
Raiders logo
1st Downs
17
21
Passing 1st downs
9
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
58%
67%
3rd Down Conversions
7
8
3rd Down Attempts
12
12
Red Zone %
50%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Jets logo
Raiders logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-5.66
+5.98
Sacks
4
--
Sack Yards
-21
--
Sack EPA
-11.02
--
Penalties
5
9
Penalty Yards
47
79
Penalty EPA
-5.49
-6.42

Game Preview

nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game

Model

Projected Winner
OAK logo
OAKRaidersFavored
Opening
-14.0
Current
-14.0
Model
-13.5

Win Probability

Market87.3%
Model86.4%
Spread Pick
NYJ logo
Jets+14.0
Projected +EV
Expected Value
+3.6%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+263
Home nfelo
1,531
Away nfelo
1,374
Home Field
+89.0
Base HFA
+58.2
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.3
Time Adj
+10.4
Net QB Adjustment
+17.0
Home QB Adjustment
+12.4
Away QB Adjustment
-4.6
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
320.8
Model Spread
-13.5

Quarterbacks

J. McCown headshot

J. McCown

Proj. Value
-2.0
Team Elo Adj
-4.6
Value
Ptile
10/04
5.5
84
10/11
9.9
96
10/18
-5.6
13
10/25
1.4
61
11/01
1.1
58
11/30
-0.9
45
09/18
-3.2
25
10/30
-1.0
40
11/27
-3.6
22
09/10
-2.7
34
D. Carr headshot

D. Carr

Proj. Value
+0.8
Team Elo Adj
+12.4
Value
Ptile
10/23
0.2
51
10/30
14.4
100
11/06
-1.3
38
11/21
5.4
84
11/27
2.1
65
12/04
2.8
71
12/08
-8.2
4
12/18
-2.8
28
12/24
5.1
83
09/10
2.9
73

Team Matchup Ranks

Jets Offense vs Raiders Defense
Jets logo
Raiders logo

Total

Points / Game
23
20
Yards / Game
28
24
Passing Yards / Game
22
23
Rushing Yards / Game
19
11

EPA

EPA / Play
23
31
EPA / Pass
18
31
EPA / Rush
23
22

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
5
30
Interceptions / Game
13
32
Fumbles / Game
23
18
Turnover EPA / Game
20
2

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
24
25
4th Down Efficiency
8
30
RZ Efficiency
10
8
Raiders Offense vs Jets Defense
Raiders logo
Jets logo

Total

Points / Game
22
22
Yards / Game
18
26
Passing Yards / Game
30
5
Rushing Yards / Game
25
24

EPA

EPA / Play
15
22
EPA / Pass
16
22
EPA / Rush
22
9

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
8
7
Interceptions / Game
20
18
Fumbles / Game
31
8
Turnover EPA / Game
13
9

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
11
10
4th Down Efficiency
27
14
RZ Efficiency
8
21

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYJ logo

Jets

3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
4-6
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/30
3
W
W
O
11/06
-4
L
L
O
11/13
-3
L
L
U
11/27
-5
L
W
U
12/05
-31
L
L
O
12/11
6
W
W
U
12/17
-21
L
L
O
12/24
-38
L
L
U
01/01
20
W
W
U
09/10
-9
L
L
U
OAK logo

Raiders

7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
6-4
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/06
10
W
W
O
11/21
7
W
W
O
11/27
3
W
L
O
12/04
14
W
W
O
12/08
-8
L
L
U
12/18
3
W
W
U
12/24
8
W
W
O
01/01
-18
L
L
U
01/07
-13
L
L
O
09/10
10
W
W
U