NYJJets
2-0
24
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
70°F
7 mph
34
OAKRaiders
1-1
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
70°F
7 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
7
10
0
7
24
Raiders
7
10
7
10
34
Spread
+2.5
Total
OVER
40
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
439
383
Total Plays
73
60
Yards / Play
6.0
6.4
EPA / Play
+0.03
+0.18
Passing Yards
339
149
Comp/Att
27/44(61%)
18/27(67%)
Yards / Pass
7.7
5.5
EPA / Pass
+0.11
-0.04
Rushing Yards
100
234
Rush Attempts
25
32
Yards / Rush
4.0
7.3
EPA / Rush
-0.09
+0.25
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
23
Passing 1st downs
15
8
Rushing 1st downs
5
10
Penalty 1st downs
5
5
3rd Down %
43%
0%
3rd Down Conversions
6
--
3rd Down Attempts
14
8
Red Zone %
40%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-10.05
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-30
-7
Sack EPA
-6.13
-1.52
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
61
55
Penalty EPA
-6.47
-6.96
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
-3.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-2.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model56.6%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-45
Home nfelo
1,481
Away nfelo
1,630
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+8.4
Home QB Adjustment
+13.1
Away QB Adjustment
+4.6
Market Regression
+45.6
Final Difference
-46.1
Model Spread
+2.5
Quarterbacks
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
+4.6
J. Campbell
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+13.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
29
Yards / Game
26
29
Passing Yards / Game
18
16
Rushing Yards / Game
22
27
EPA
EPA / Play
21
30
EPA / Pass
25
25
EPA / Rush
13
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
30
Interceptions / Game
23
10
Fumbles / Game
29
26
Turnover EPA / Game
2
20
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
25
4th Down Efficiency
20
5
RZ Efficiency
4
23
Raiders Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
19
Yards / Game
9
4
Passing Yards / Game
26
7
Rushing Yards / Game
6
14
EPA
EPA / Play
10
8
EPA / Pass
13
4
EPA / Rush
8
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
13
Interceptions / Game
27
9
Fumbles / Game
6
2
Turnover EPA / Game
11
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
2
4th Down Efficiency
8
1
RZ Efficiency
23
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
7-3
O/U
Raiders
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U