NYJJets
3-3
38
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
70°F
6 mph
0
OAKRaiders
2-4
TBD
Ring Central Coliseum
70°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Jets
14
10
7
7
38
Raiders
0
0
0
0
0
Spread
-6
Total
OVER
34
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
447
263
Total Plays
70
52
Yards / Play
6.4
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.33
-0.37
Passing Yards
131
144
Comp/Att
9/15(60%)
16/30(53%)
Yards / Pass
8.7
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.41
-0.84
Rushing Yards
316
119
Rush Attempts
54
19
Yards / Rush
5.9
6.3
EPA / Rush
+0.30
+0.09
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
26
13
Passing 1st downs
8
8
Rushing 1st downs
16
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
60%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
9
5
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
75%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-22.30
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-12
-14
Sack EPA
-1.37
-11.93
Penalties
2
3
Penalty Yards
8
24
Penalty EPA
-1.95
-3.16
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
-8.0
Current
-6.0
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market69.8%
Model60.3%
Spread Pick
Raiders+6.0
Expected Value
+18.4%
Cover Probability
60.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-11
Home nfelo
1,396
Away nfelo
1,503
Home Field
+95.5
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+0.9
Home QB Adjustment
-27.1
Away QB Adjustment
-28.0
Market Regression
+41.4
Final Difference
-72.5
Model Spread
+3.0
Quarterbacks
M. Sanchez
Proj. Value
-3.1
Team Elo Adj
-28.0
J. Russell
Proj. Value
-5.2
Team Elo Adj
-27.1
Team Matchup Ranks
Jets Offense vs Raiders Defense
Total
Points / Game
17
23
Yards / Game
20
25
Passing Yards / Game
32
15
Rushing Yards / Game
1
29
EPA
EPA / Play
20
26
EPA / Pass
25
27
EPA / Rush
6
25
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
3
Interceptions / Game
27
31
Fumbles / Game
17
23
Turnover EPA / Game
21
2
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
20
7
4th Down Efficiency
1
28
RZ Efficiency
16
10
Raiders Offense vs Jets Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
1
Yards / Game
31
1
Passing Yards / Game
26
2
Rushing Yards / Game
21
7
EPA
EPA / Play
29
1
EPA / Pass
30
1
EPA / Rush
22
9
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
26
Interceptions / Game
22
14
Fumbles / Game
32
18
Turnover EPA / Game
11
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
1
4th Down Efficiency
18
3
RZ Efficiency
29
5
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Jets
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
2-4-4
O/U
Raiders
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
2-4-4
O/U