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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. jets @ rams week 17, 2004

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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NYJ logo
NYJJets
10-5
29
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0
32
LARRams
7-8
LAR logo
TBD
Edward Jones Dome
70°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Jets
3
7
10
3
0
23
Rams
0
14
7
8
3
32

Game Statistics

General
Jets logo
Rams logo
Total Yards
324
481
Total Plays
82
63
Yards / Play
4.0
7.6
EPA / Play
+0.04
+0.00
Passing Yards
144
432
Comp/Att
21/37(57%)
29/40(73%)
Yards / Pass
3.9
10.8
EPA / Pass
-0.24
+0.13
Rushing Yards
180
49
Rush Attempts
39
20
Yards / Rush
4.6
2.5
EPA / Rush
+0.14
-0.30
Downs & Conversions
Jets logo
Rams logo
1st Downs
22
21
Passing 1st downs
10
18
Rushing 1st downs
11
2
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
28%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
18
13
Red Zone %
33%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Jets logo
Rams logo
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-15.87
Sacks
6
3
Sack Yards
-37
-18
Sack EPA
-10.12
-4.55
Penalties
7
10
Penalty Yards
75
76
Penalty EPA
-4.94
-10.27

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
NYJ logo
NYJJetsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Jets Offense vs Rams Defense
Jets logo
Rams logo

Total

Points / Game
17
28
Yards / Game
12
23
Passing Yards / Game
29
17
Rushing Yards / Game
3
31

EPA

EPA / Play
10
27
EPA / Pass
13
22
EPA / Rush
3
29

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
10
2
Interceptions / Game
2
32
Fumbles / Game
2
24
Turnover EPA / Game
32
1

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
16
4th Down Efficiency
14
26
RZ Efficiency
13
21
Rams Offense vs Jets Defense
Rams logo
Jets logo

Total

Points / Game
18
3
Yards / Game
6
8
Passing Yards / Game
3
24
Rushing Yards / Game
27
7

EPA

EPA / Play
16
11
EPA / Pass
11
17
EPA / Rush
5
3

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
11
23
Interceptions / Game
27
9
Fumbles / Game
28
18
Turnover EPA / Game
5
22

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
7
21
4th Down Efficiency
2
11
RZ Efficiency
18
11

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

NYJ logo

Jets

5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/24
-6
L
P
P
11/01
27
W
W
P
11/07
-5
L
L
P
11/14
-3
L
L
P
11/21
3
W
W
P
11/28
10
W
W
P
12/05
22
W
W
P
12/12
-11
L
L
P
12/19
23
W
W
P
12/26
-16
L
L
P
LAR logo

Rams

4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/18
7
W
W
P
10/24
-17
L
L
P
11/07
-18
L
L
P
11/14
11
W
W
P
11/21
-20
L
L
P
11/29
-28
L
L
P
12/05
10
W
L
P
12/12
-13
L
L
P
12/19
-24
L
L
P
12/27
13
W
W
P