DETLions
1-3
17
TBD
Candlestick Park
66°F
6 mph
24
SF49ers
1-3
TBD
Candlestick Park
66°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
10
0
7
17
49ers
10
7
7
0
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
305
325
Total Plays
56
68
Yards / Play
5.4
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.17
-0.06
Passing Yards
--
183
Comp/Att
20/36(56%)
15/27(56%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.8
EPA / Pass
-0.17
+0.18
Rushing Yards
84
142
Rush Attempts
20
39
Yards / Rush
4.2
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.03
-0.13
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
20
Passing 1st downs
10
9
Rushing 1st downs
5
10
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
18%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
15
Red Zone %
67%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-8.53
-3.63
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-9
Sack EPA
--
-2.84
Penalties
5
4
Penalty Yards
48
45
Penalty EPA
-6.04
-5.58
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs 49ers Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
18
Yards / Game
32
12
Passing Yards / Game
32
28
Rushing Yards / Game
32
9
EPA
EPA / Play
29
11
EPA / Pass
29
10
EPA / Rush
30
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
21
Interceptions / Game
31
6
Fumbles / Game
1
18
Turnover EPA / Game
19
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
27
4th Down Efficiency
23
25
RZ Efficiency
21
26
49ers Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
25
Yards / Game
5
24
Passing Yards / Game
11
9
Rushing Yards / Game
5
15
EPA
EPA / Play
9
16
EPA / Pass
8
25
EPA / Rush
14
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
32
Interceptions / Game
11
15
Fumbles / Game
23
14
Turnover EPA / Game
28
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
26
4th Down Efficiency
30
26
RZ Efficiency
19
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
49ers
4-6
SU
1-8-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U