DETLions
1-5
16
TBD
Soldier Field
46°F
10 mph
24
CHIBears
1-5
TBD
Soldier Field
46°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
0
8
8
16
Bears
0
10
14
0
24
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
264
261
Total Plays
66
59
Yards / Play
4.0
4.4
EPA / Play
-0.05
+0.05
Passing Yards
178
193
Comp/Att
23/42(55%)
20/31(65%)
Yards / Pass
4.2
6.2
EPA / Pass
-0.19
+0.19
Rushing Yards
86
68
Rush Attempts
23
26
Yards / Rush
3.7
2.6
EPA / Rush
-0.15
-0.28
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
14
Passing 1st downs
11
10
Rushing 1st downs
3
4
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
29%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
8
3rd Down Attempts
14
16
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-8.47
--
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-6
-14
Sack EPA
-2.61
-2.84
Penalties
9
7
Penalty Yards
64
60
Penalty EPA
-6.93
-6.85
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
21
Yards / Game
32
14
Passing Yards / Game
32
5
Rushing Yards / Game
32
16
EPA
EPA / Play
29
20
EPA / Pass
29
19
EPA / Rush
30
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
4
Interceptions / Game
31
15
Fumbles / Game
1
32
Turnover EPA / Game
19
3
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
20
4th Down Efficiency
23
9
RZ Efficiency
21
16
Bears Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
25
Yards / Game
28
24
Passing Yards / Game
14
9
Rushing Yards / Game
18
15
EPA
EPA / Play
24
16
EPA / Pass
31
25
EPA / Rush
8
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
32
Interceptions / Game
25
15
Fumbles / Game
9
14
Turnover EPA / Game
17
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
26
4th Down Efficiency
2
26
RZ Efficiency
18
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
1-9
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
2-8
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U