DETLions
4-2
16
TBD
Soldier Field
51°F
5 mph
7
CHIBears
3-4
TBD
Soldier Field
51°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
13
0
3
16
Bears
0
0
7
0
7
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
365
255
Total Plays
67
62
Yards / Play
5.4
4.1
EPA / Play
-0.00
-0.19
Passing Yards
246
192
Comp/Att
24/35(69%)
22/40(55%)
Yards / Pass
7.0
4.8
EPA / Pass
+0.14
-0.36
Rushing Yards
119
63
Rush Attempts
28
20
Yards / Rush
4.3
3.1
EPA / Rush
-0.23
-0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
16
Passing 1st downs
13
9
Rushing 1st downs
6
5
Penalty 1st downs
3
2
3rd Down %
31%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
7
3rd Down Attempts
13
14
Red Zone %
25%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
4
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
4
Interceptions
0
4
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.47
-14.88
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-22
-16
Sack EPA
-6.08
-2.73
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
32
78
Penalty EPA
-4.81
-9.11
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
17
Yards / Game
19
28
Passing Yards / Game
4
30
Rushing Yards / Game
31
24
EPA
EPA / Play
22
5
EPA / Pass
20
14
EPA / Rush
25
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
9
Interceptions / Game
30
18
Fumbles / Game
22
1
Turnover EPA / Game
4
25
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
2
4th Down Efficiency
21
29
RZ Efficiency
18
14
Bears Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
32
Yards / Game
27
32
Passing Yards / Game
6
28
Rushing Yards / Game
30
23
EPA
EPA / Play
26
25
EPA / Pass
26
26
EPA / Rush
30
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
4
Interceptions / Game
28
13
Fumbles / Game
15
2
Turnover EPA / Game
15
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
30
4th Down Efficiency
18
30
RZ Efficiency
27
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
5-5
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U