DETLions
0-10
10
TBD
Soldier Field
51°F
13 mph
13
CHIBears
8-2
TBD
Soldier Field
51°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
7
0
3
0
10
Bears
0
3
0
10
13
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
295
232
Total Plays
65
68
Yards / Play
4.5
3.4
EPA / Play
-0.06
-0.04
Passing Yards
228
--
Comp/Att
22/37(59%)
17/34(50%)
Yards / Pass
6.2
--
EPA / Pass
+0.09
-0.31
Rushing Yards
67
108
Rush Attempts
23
34
Yards / Rush
2.9
3.2
EPA / Rush
-0.18
-0.02
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
18
Passing 1st downs
12
7
Rushing 1st downs
3
8
Penalty 1st downs
2
3
3rd Down %
44%
29%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
14
Red Zone %
50%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
2
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-3.64
-2.21
Sacks
5
--
Sack Yards
-28
--
Sack EPA
-7.83
--
Penalties
10
5
Penalty Yards
79
56
Penalty EPA
-8.95
-3.71
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
2
Yards / Game
16
14
Passing Yards / Game
7
28
Rushing Yards / Game
28
2
EPA
EPA / Play
26
3
EPA / Pass
28
7
EPA / Rush
25
3
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
31
Interceptions / Game
29
9
Fumbles / Game
24
3
Turnover EPA / Game
6
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
9
4th Down Efficiency
14
3
RZ Efficiency
6
12
Bears Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
30
Yards / Game
27
26
Passing Yards / Game
30
24
Rushing Yards / Game
16
23
EPA
EPA / Play
18
30
EPA / Pass
23
27
EPA / Rush
15
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
27
1
Interceptions / Game
15
17
Fumbles / Game
2
31
Turnover EPA / Game
15
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
26
4th Down Efficiency
15
16
RZ Efficiency
18
27
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
0-10
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
8-2
SU
7-2-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U