DETLions
1-2
16
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
66°F
9 mph
20
DENBroncos
3-0
TBD
Empower Field at Mile High
66°F
9 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
7
3
0
6
16
Broncos
7
7
3
3
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
285
332
Total Plays
58
60
Yards / Play
4.9
5.5
EPA / Play
+0.08
+0.08
Passing Yards
141
253
Comp/Att
15/33(45%)
25/34(74%)
Yards / Pass
4.3
7.4
EPA / Pass
+0.04
+0.25
Rushing Yards
144
79
Rush Attempts
24
23
Yards / Rush
6.0
3.4
EPA / Rush
+0.01
-0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
16
20
Passing 1st downs
6
13
Rushing 1st downs
8
5
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
47%
36%
3rd Down Conversions
7
4
3rd Down Attempts
15
11
Red Zone %
NaN%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
--
1
Red Zone Attempts
--
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-2.43
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-8
-24
Sack EPA
-1.25
-5.34
Penalties
8
6
Penalty Yards
74
44
Penalty EPA
-5.10
-5.25
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Broncos Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
12
Yards / Game
32
5
Passing Yards / Game
32
3
Rushing Yards / Game
32
6
EPA
EPA / Play
29
14
EPA / Pass
29
15
EPA / Rush
30
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
27
Interceptions / Game
31
32
Fumbles / Game
1
13
Turnover EPA / Game
19
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
4
4th Down Efficiency
23
18
RZ Efficiency
21
6
Broncos Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
25
Yards / Game
7
24
Passing Yards / Game
31
9
Rushing Yards / Game
1
15
EPA
EPA / Play
10
16
EPA / Pass
15
25
EPA / Rush
3
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
32
Interceptions / Game
20
15
Fumbles / Game
2
14
Turnover EPA / Game
22
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
26
4th Down Efficiency
28
26
RZ Efficiency
7
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
1-9
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Broncos
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U