DETLions
4-2
28
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
76°F
5 mph
14
TBBuccaneers
3-3
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
76°F
5 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
11
3
14
28
Buccaneers
6
3
0
3
12
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
279
258
Total Plays
76
51
Yards / Play
3.7
5.1
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.32
Passing Yards
107
--
Comp/Att
13/31(42%)
17/33(52%)
Yards / Pass
3.5
--
EPA / Pass
-0.23
-0.53
Rushing Yards
172
109
Rush Attempts
38
19
Yards / Rush
4.5
5.7
EPA / Rush
+0.26
-0.51
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
12
Passing 1st downs
9
8
Rushing 1st downs
11
4
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
41%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
17
11
Red Zone %
60%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
3
--
Red Zone Attempts
5
1
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-15.28
Sacks
7
--
Sack Yards
-37
--
Sack EPA
-8.45
--
Penalties
7
7
Penalty Yards
55
54
Penalty EPA
+0.29
-6.59
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
8
Yards / Game
27
9
Passing Yards / Game
22
22
Rushing Yards / Game
20
11
EPA
EPA / Play
27
5
EPA / Pass
28
4
EPA / Rush
17
20
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
15
Interceptions / Game
20
5
Fumbles / Game
13
7
Turnover EPA / Game
9
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
7
4th Down Efficiency
18
22
RZ Efficiency
23
7
Buccaneers Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
10
Yards / Game
22
14
Passing Yards / Game
28
12
Rushing Yards / Game
9
18
EPA
EPA / Play
17
3
EPA / Pass
17
7
EPA / Rush
9
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
5
Interceptions / Game
4
4
Fumbles / Game
4
5
Turnover EPA / Game
27
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
16
4th Down Efficiency
24
20
RZ Efficiency
8
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Buccaneers
6-4
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U