DETLions
-
27
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
027
ARICardinals
-
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Lions
0
17
0
7
3
27
Cardinals
0
3
3
18
3
27
Spread
+2.5
Total
OVER
45.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
477
389
Total Plays
80
83
Yards / Play
6.0
4.7
EPA / Play
+0.00
-0.03
Passing Yards
361
277
Comp/Att
27/45(60%)
29/55(53%)
Yards / Pass
8.0
5.0
EPA / Pass
+0.25
-0.13
Rushing Yards
116
112
Rush Attempts
32
23
Yards / Rush
3.6
4.9
EPA / Rush
-0.27
-0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
23
21
Passing 1st downs
17
16
Rushing 1st downs
5
3
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
33%
41%
3rd Down Conversions
6
9
3rd Down Attempts
18
22
Red Zone %
67%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
2
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-6.60
+2.70
Sacks
3
5
Sack Yards
-24
-33
Sack EPA
-8.13
-7.94
Penalties
9
7
Penalty Yards
59
35
Penalty EPA
-6.23
-5.14
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
-2.5
Current
-2.5
Model
-0.5
Win Probability
Market56.6%
Model51.0%
Spread Pick
Cardinals+2.5
Expected Value
+2.6%
Cover Probability
53.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+25
Home nfelo
1,385
Away nfelo
1,470
Home Field
+98.8
Base HFA
+57.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+20.2
Time Adj
+20.7
Net QB Adjustment
+10.7
Home QB Adjustment
+5.7
Away QB Adjustment
-5.0
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
-7.2
Model Spread
+0.5
Quarterbacks
J. Stafford
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
-5.0
K. Murray
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+5.7
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
28
Yards / Game
16
32
Passing Yards / Game
12
32
Rushing Yards / Game
21
23
EPA
EPA / Play
21
28
EPA / Pass
16
30
EPA / Rush
27
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
2
6
Interceptions / Game
21
30
Fumbles / Game
10
14
Turnover EPA / Game
14
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
30
4th Down Efficiency
24
1
RZ Efficiency
12
22
Cardinals Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
26
Yards / Game
22
31
Passing Yards / Game
22
27
Rushing Yards / Game
10
21
EPA
EPA / Play
17
23
EPA / Pass
19
26
EPA / Rush
5
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
15
13
Interceptions / Game
16
30
Fumbles / Game
4
7
Turnover EPA / Game
25
9
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
28
4th Down Efficiency
2
14
RZ Efficiency
30
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
3-7
SU
4-6
ATS
1-9
O/U
Cardinals
2-8
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U