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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. lions @ chargers week 15, 2007

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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DET logo
DETLions
6-7
14
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
67°F
8 mph
51
LACChargers
8-5
LAC logo
TBD
Qualcomm Stadium
67°F
8 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
7
7
0
14
Chargers
17
11
10
7
45

Game Statistics

General
Lions logo
Chargers logo
Total Yards
328
416
Total Plays
56
75
Yards / Play
5.9
5.5
EPA / Play
-0.36
+0.23
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
26/47(55%)
14/22(64%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
-0.35
+0.46
Rushing Yards
26
274
Rush Attempts
9
53
Yards / Rush
2.9
5.2
EPA / Rush
-0.18
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
Lions logo
Chargers logo
1st Downs
19
26
Passing 1st downs
18
11
Rushing 1st downs
1
14
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
44%
61%
3rd Down Conversions
4
11
3rd Down Attempts
9
18
Red Zone %
100%
63%
Red Zone Conversions
2
5
Red Zone Attempts
2
8
Negative Plays
Lions logo
Chargers logo
Turnovers
6
0
Interceptions
5
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-28.42
--
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
38
25
Penalty EPA
-7.50
-3.53

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
DET logo
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Lions Offense vs Chargers Defense
Lions logo
Chargers logo

Total

Points / Game
16
4
Yards / Game
19
14
Passing Yards / Game
4
16
Rushing Yards / Game
31
15

EPA

EPA / Play
22
1
EPA / Pass
20
4
EPA / Rush
25
11

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
22
27
Interceptions / Game
30
1
Fumbles / Game
22
7
Turnover EPA / Game
4
32

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
31
19
4th Down Efficiency
21
6
RZ Efficiency
18
13
Chargers Offense vs Lions Defense
Chargers logo
Lions logo

Total

Points / Game
10
32
Yards / Game
20
32
Passing Yards / Game
31
28
Rushing Yards / Game
9
23

EPA

EPA / Play
12
25
EPA / Pass
8
26
EPA / Rush
18
14

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
27
4
Interceptions / Game
17
13
Fumbles / Game
5
2
Turnover EPA / Game
21
31

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
15
30
4th Down Efficiency
6
30
RZ Efficiency
15
31

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DET logo

Lions

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/30
10
W
W
P
10/07
-31
L
L
P
10/21
7
W
W
P
10/28
9
W
W
P
11/04
37
W
W
P
11/11
-10
L
L
P
11/18
-6
L
L
P
11/22
-11
L
L
P
12/02
-32
L
L
P
12/09
-1
L
W
P
LAC logo

Chargers

7-3
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
09/30
-14
L
L
P
10/07
38
W
W
P
10/14
14
W
W
P
10/28
25
W
W
P
11/04
-18
L
L
P
11/11
2
W
W
P
11/18
-7
L
L
P
11/25
18
W
W
P
12/02
14
W
W
P
12/09
6
W
W
P