DETLions
2-0
21
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
74°F
10 mph
31
KCChiefs
1-1
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
74°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
7
6
8
21
Chiefs
7
10
7
7
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
313
383
Total Plays
62
65
Yards / Play
5.0
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.06
+0.17
Passing Yards
195
228
Comp/Att
16/36(44%)
20/29(69%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
7.9
EPA / Pass
-0.07
+0.41
Rushing Yards
118
155
Rush Attempts
22
35
Yards / Rush
5.4
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.18
-0.14
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
21
Passing 1st downs
11
13
Rushing 1st downs
6
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
18%
47%
3rd Down Conversions
2
7
3rd Down Attempts
11
15
Red Zone %
100%
75%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.88
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-20
-7
Sack EPA
-6.61
-1.17
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
52
70
Penalty EPA
-4.19
-5.04
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
14
Yards / Game
20
14
Passing Yards / Game
10
13
Rushing Yards / Game
28
9
EPA
EPA / Play
20
6
EPA / Pass
16
5
EPA / Rush
22
5
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
28
Interceptions / Game
8
5
Fumbles / Game
3
3
Turnover EPA / Game
28
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
1
4th Down Efficiency
22
17
RZ Efficiency
11
17
Chiefs Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
16
Yards / Game
11
20
Passing Yards / Game
11
30
Rushing Yards / Game
4
15
EPA
EPA / Play
16
12
EPA / Pass
7
18
EPA / Rush
14
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
1
Interceptions / Game
5
17
Fumbles / Game
5
6
Turnover EPA / Game
27
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
6
25
4th Down Efficiency
8
6
RZ Efficiency
4
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Chiefs
1-1
SU
1-1
ATS
0-0-2
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U