DETLions
4-9
17
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
29°F
12 mph
45
KCChiefs
11-2
TBD
GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
29°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
10
7
0
17
Chiefs
14
14
17
0
45
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
334
521
Total Plays
66
60
Yards / Play
5.1
8.7
EPA / Play
+0.12
+0.59
Passing Yards
--
--
Comp/Att
20/36(56%)
25/32(78%)
Yards / Pass
--
--
EPA / Pass
+0.01
+0.74
Rushing Yards
137
149
Rush Attempts
30
28
Yards / Rush
4.6
5.3
EPA / Rush
+0.06
+0.27
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
28
Passing 1st downs
13
15
Rushing 1st downs
7
12
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
57%
57%
3rd Down Conversions
8
4
3rd Down Attempts
14
7
Red Zone %
50%
83%
Red Zone Conversions
2
5
Red Zone Attempts
4
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.22
--
Sacks
--
--
Sack Yards
--
--
Sack EPA
--
--
Penalties
5
6
Penalty Yards
32
55
Penalty EPA
-2.64
-6.93
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Chiefs Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
22
Yards / Game
32
29
Passing Yards / Game
32
18
Rushing Yards / Game
32
30
EPA
EPA / Play
29
26
EPA / Pass
29
17
EPA / Rush
30
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
8
30
Interceptions / Game
31
4
Fumbles / Game
1
23
Turnover EPA / Game
19
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
18
4th Down Efficiency
23
10
RZ Efficiency
21
23
Chiefs Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
25
Yards / Game
3
24
Passing Yards / Game
19
9
Rushing Yards / Game
11
15
EPA
EPA / Play
1
16
EPA / Pass
3
25
EPA / Rush
2
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
16
32
Interceptions / Game
2
15
Fumbles / Game
7
14
Turnover EPA / Game
32
19
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
26
4th Down Efficiency
1
26
RZ Efficiency
1
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
3-7
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Chiefs
8-2
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U