DETLions
5-2
18
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
030
INDColts
5-2
TBD
RCA Dome
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
0
11
7
18
Colts
7
14
0
7
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
330
420
Total Plays
65
65
Yards / Play
5.1
6.5
EPA / Play
-0.31
-0.17
Passing Yards
174
281
Comp/Att
18/38(47%)
22/33(67%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
8.5
EPA / Pass
-0.50
+0.30
Rushing Yards
156
139
Rush Attempts
24
31
Yards / Rush
6.5
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.05
-0.39
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
24
Passing 1st downs
8
13
Rushing 1st downs
10
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
4
3rd Down %
36%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
5
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
40%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
5
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
5
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
2
3
Turnover EPA
-14.94
-22.21
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-16
-7
Sack EPA
-7.54
-1.29
Penalties
9
3
Penalty Yards
57
--
Penalty EPA
-4.84
--
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
16
Yards / Game
27
22
Passing Yards / Game
22
8
Rushing Yards / Game
19
27
EPA
EPA / Play
27
21
EPA / Pass
28
14
EPA / Rush
17
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
31
Interceptions / Game
20
17
Fumbles / Game
13
28
Turnover EPA / Game
9
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
28
21
4th Down Efficiency
18
28
RZ Efficiency
23
25
Colts Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
10
Yards / Game
3
14
Passing Yards / Game
18
12
Rushing Yards / Game
15
18
EPA
EPA / Play
2
3
EPA / Pass
2
7
EPA / Rush
7
17
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
18
5
Interceptions / Game
8
4
Fumbles / Game
16
5
Turnover EPA / Game
20
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
16
4th Down Efficiency
1
20
RZ Efficiency
4
23
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
5-5
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U