DETLions
0-13
21
TBD
Lucas Oil Stadium
70°F
031
INDColts
9-4
TBD
Lucas Oil Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
3
7
3
8
21
Colts
7
14
0
10
31
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
325
421
Total Plays
57
67
Yards / Play
5.7
6.3
EPA / Play
+0.27
+0.34
Passing Yards
--
315
Comp/Att
23/35(66%)
28/37(76%)
Yards / Pass
--
8.5
EPA / Pass
+0.13
+0.59
Rushing Yards
90
106
Rush Attempts
22
29
Yards / Rush
4.1
3.7
EPA / Rush
-0.13
+0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
28
Passing 1st downs
8
19
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
40%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
4
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
50%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
1
4
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
4
0
Turnover EPA
+4.44
--
Sacks
--
1
Sack Yards
--
-3
Sack EPA
--
-1.63
Penalties
6
5
Penalty Yards
48
31
Penalty EPA
-6.23
-4.70
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Colts Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
7
Yards / Game
30
11
Passing Yards / Game
17
3
Rushing Yards / Game
30
25
EPA
EPA / Play
29
21
EPA / Pass
32
9
EPA / Rush
18
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
29
Interceptions / Game
26
13
Fumbles / Game
25
8
Turnover EPA / Game
20
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
31
4th Down Efficiency
15
16
RZ Efficiency
3
2
Colts Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
12
32
Yards / Game
15
32
Passing Yards / Game
20
30
Rushing Yards / Game
31
32
EPA
EPA / Play
4
31
EPA / Pass
2
32
EPA / Rush
23
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
2
Interceptions / Game
6
32
Fumbles / Game
1
9
Turnover EPA / Game
31
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
1
29
4th Down Efficiency
4
22
RZ Efficiency
1
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
0-10
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Colts
8-2
SU
4-4-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U