DETLions
3-1
3
TBD
FedExField
88°F
8 mph
34
WASCommanders
2-1
TBD
FedExField
88°F
8 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
0
3
0
3
Commanders
0
14
0
12
26
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
144
368
Total Plays
54
65
Yards / Play
2.7
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.41
+0.14
Passing Yards
76
--
Comp/Att
16/29(55%)
23/30(77%)
Yards / Pass
2.6
--
EPA / Pass
-0.70
+0.67
Rushing Yards
68
118
Rush Attempts
20
35
Yards / Rush
3.4
3.4
EPA / Rush
+0.02
-0.33
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
11
23
Passing 1st downs
5
12
Rushing 1st downs
4
11
Penalty 1st downs
2
--
3rd Down %
10%
42%
3rd Down Conversions
1
5
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
NaN%
60%
Red Zone Conversions
--
3
Red Zone Attempts
--
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-12.50
-4.00
Sacks
5
--
Sack Yards
-30
--
Sack EPA
-3.32
--
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
20
50
Penalty EPA
-3.49
-3.85
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
12
Yards / Game
19
9
Passing Yards / Game
4
24
Rushing Yards / Game
31
3
EPA
EPA / Play
22
8
EPA / Pass
20
6
EPA / Rush
25
22
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
21
Interceptions / Game
30
22
Fumbles / Game
22
24
Turnover EPA / Game
4
17
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
5
4th Down Efficiency
21
26
RZ Efficiency
18
6
Commanders Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
32
Yards / Game
15
32
Passing Yards / Game
7
28
Rushing Yards / Game
12
23
EPA
EPA / Play
20
25
EPA / Pass
12
26
EPA / Rush
32
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
4
Interceptions / Game
4
13
Fumbles / Game
29
2
Turnover EPA / Game
7
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
30
4th Down Efficiency
24
30
RZ Efficiency
20
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
4-6
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
4-6
SU
3-4-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U