DETLions
8-8
13
TBD
FedExField
45°F
10 mph
27
WASCommanders
10-6
TBD
FedExField
45°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
0
0
7
7
Commanders
14
13
0
0
27
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
258
389
Total Plays
60
76
Yards / Play
4.3
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.25
-0.03
Passing Yards
213
153
Comp/Att
21/46(46%)
15/29(52%)
Yards / Pass
4.6
5.3
EPA / Pass
-0.27
+0.06
Rushing Yards
45
223
Rush Attempts
10
46
Yards / Rush
4.5
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.22
+0.08
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
23
Passing 1st downs
12
9
Rushing 1st downs
1
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
3
3rd Down %
21%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
9
3rd Down Attempts
14
18
Red Zone %
50%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
2
Interceptions
2
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.61
-6.75
Sacks
5
1
Sack Yards
-38
-8
Sack EPA
-5.79
-1.63
Penalties
12
6
Penalty Yards
126
75
Penalty EPA
-11.50
-5.09
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Commanders Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
23
Yards / Game
20
25
Passing Yards / Game
10
24
Rushing Yards / Game
28
23
EPA
EPA / Play
20
26
EPA / Pass
16
16
EPA / Rush
22
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
25
Interceptions / Game
8
6
Fumbles / Game
3
18
Turnover EPA / Game
28
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
18
4th Down Efficiency
22
23
RZ Efficiency
11
29
Commanders Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
16
Yards / Game
3
20
Passing Yards / Game
12
30
Rushing Yards / Game
5
15
EPA
EPA / Play
2
12
EPA / Pass
8
18
EPA / Rush
1
10
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
20
1
Interceptions / Game
10
17
Fumbles / Game
9
6
Turnover EPA / Game
26
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
25
4th Down Efficiency
13
6
RZ Efficiency
6
9
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
4-6
SU
3-6-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Commanders
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U