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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. lions @ cowboys week 11, 2005

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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DET logo
DETLions
4-5
7
TBD
Texas Stadium
57°F
0
20
DALCowboys
6-3
DAL logo
TBD
Texas Stadium
57°F
0

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
7
0
0
7
Cowboys
7
6
7
0
20

Game Statistics

General
Lions logo
Cowboys logo
Total Yards
226
253
Total Plays
45
66
Yards / Play
5.0
3.8
EPA / Play
-0.15
+0.08
Passing Yards
169
104
Comp/Att
17/25(68%)
12/23(52%)
Yards / Pass
6.8
4.5
EPA / Pass
+0.05
+0.06
Rushing Yards
57
149
Rush Attempts
19
42
Yards / Rush
3.0
3.5
EPA / Rush
+0.00
-0.11
Downs & Conversions
Lions logo
Cowboys logo
1st Downs
11
26
Passing 1st downs
8
7
Rushing 1st downs
3
10
Penalty 1st downs
--
9
3rd Down %
30%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
12
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
1
3
Negative Plays
Lions logo
Cowboys logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
1
1
Turnover EPA
-3.71
-4.24
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
--
-6
Sack EPA
-3.71
-1.43
Penalties
17
5
Penalty Yards
129
40
Penalty EPA
-15.60
-1.20

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
DET logo
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Lions Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Lions logo
Cowboys logo

Total

Points / Game
28
12
Yards / Game
27
10
Passing Yards / Game
21
24
Rushing Yards / Game
26
14

EPA

EPA / Play
29
14
EPA / Pass
28
4
EPA / Rush
17
25

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
8
4
Interceptions / Game
23
20
Fumbles / Game
12
23
Turnover EPA / Game
9
12

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
19
6
4th Down Efficiency
21
27
RZ Efficiency
15
11
Cowboys Offense vs Lions Defense
Cowboys logo
Lions logo

Total

Points / Game
15
21
Yards / Game
12
20
Passing Yards / Game
12
12
Rushing Yards / Game
13
24

EPA

EPA / Play
15
18
EPA / Pass
10
18
EPA / Rush
24
22

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
16
21
Interceptions / Game
22
7
Fumbles / Game
23
9
Turnover EPA / Game
12
22

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
20
4th Down Efficiency
10
21
RZ Efficiency
13
17

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

DET logo

Lions

4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/02
-5
L
L
P
09/11
14
W
W
P
09/18
-32
L
L
P
10/02
-4
L
W
P
10/09
18
W
W
P
10/16
-1
L
L
P
10/23
3
W
W
P
10/30
-6
L
L
P
11/06
-13
L
L
P
11/13
8
W
W
P
DAL logo

Cowboys

6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
01/02
-4
L
L
P
09/11
4
W
W
P
09/19
-1
L
L
P
09/25
3
W
L
P
10/02
-6
L
L
P
10/09
23
W
W
P
10/16
3
W
L
P
10/23
-3
L
P
P
10/30
21
W
W
P
11/14
1
W
W
P