DETLions
-
21
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
87°F
12 mph
49
MIADolphins
-
TBD
Hard Rock Stadium
87°F
12 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
7
7
7
21
Dolphins
7
21
14
7
49
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
257
389
Total Plays
58
68
Yards / Play
4.4
5.7
EPA / Play
+0.03
+0.42
Passing Yards
206
--
Comp/Att
17/36(47%)
18/27(67%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
--
EPA / Pass
-0.11
+0.71
Rushing Yards
51
182
Rush Attempts
19
41
Yards / Rush
2.7
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.03
+0.01
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
27
Passing 1st downs
10
15
Rushing 1st downs
4
11
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
50%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
7
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
6
Red Zone Attempts
3
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-6.09
+6.73
Sacks
3
--
Sack Yards
-14
--
Sack EPA
-4.85
--
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
68
54
Penalty EPA
-6.61
-4.00
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Dolphins Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
4
Yards / Game
28
3
Passing Yards / Game
32
5
Rushing Yards / Game
29
5
EPA
EPA / Play
28
9
EPA / Pass
29
4
EPA / Rush
24
12
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
10
26
Interceptions / Game
31
5
Fumbles / Game
2
30
Turnover EPA / Game
10
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
4
4th Down Efficiency
22
1
RZ Efficiency
29
5
Dolphins Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
13
31
Yards / Game
15
31
Passing Yards / Game
25
24
Rushing Yards / Game
2
19
EPA
EPA / Play
7
25
EPA / Pass
16
29
EPA / Rush
9
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
29
32
Interceptions / Game
12
26
Fumbles / Game
27
6
Turnover EPA / Game
17
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
21
29
4th Down Efficiency
31
30
RZ Efficiency
2
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
2-8
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Dolphins
6-4
SU
5-4-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U