DETLions
4-4
17
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
60°F
14 mph
23
JAXJaguars
5-3
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
60°F
14 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Lions
0
0
0
5
0
5
Jaguars
7
3
7
0
6
23
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
190
415
Total Plays
54
89
Yards / Play
3.5
4.7
EPA / Play
-0.35
-0.17
Passing Yards
109
176
Comp/Att
11/33(33%)
19/36(53%)
Yards / Pass
3.3
4.9
EPA / Pass
-0.60
-0.01
Rushing Yards
81
239
Rush Attempts
19
50
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.8
EPA / Rush
-0.05
-0.00
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
10
22
Passing 1st downs
3
11
Rushing 1st downs
4
10
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
14%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
2
12
3rd Down Attempts
14
22
Red Zone %
0%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
--
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-3.82
--
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-12
-22
Sack EPA
-2.73
-4.36
Penalties
8
10
Penalty Yards
45
99
Penalty EPA
-7.56
-10.96
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
7
Yards / Game
24
11
Passing Yards / Game
19
9
Rushing Yards / Game
18
11
EPA
EPA / Play
24
14
EPA / Pass
25
20
EPA / Rush
6
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
23
Interceptions / Game
9
17
Fumbles / Game
1
10
Turnover EPA / Game
29
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
29
24
4th Down Efficiency
25
17
RZ Efficiency
30
1
Jaguars Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
18
Yards / Game
21
20
Passing Yards / Game
18
11
Rushing Yards / Game
15
16
EPA
EPA / Play
22
16
EPA / Pass
18
21
EPA / Rush
19
11
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
17
Interceptions / Game
4
22
Fumbles / Game
11
21
Turnover EPA / Game
21
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
27
4th Down Efficiency
12
9
RZ Efficiency
31
18
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U