DETLions
0-5
21
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
028
HOUTexans
1-4
TBD
NRG Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
3
7
11
21
Texans
14
7
7
0
28
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
328
404
Total Plays
47
68
Yards / Play
7.0
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.26
+0.24
Passing Yards
251
254
Comp/Att
12/26(46%)
26/31(84%)
Yards / Pass
9.7
8.2
EPA / Pass
+0.20
+0.21
Rushing Yards
77
150
Rush Attempts
19
34
Yards / Rush
4.1
4.4
EPA / Rush
+0.04
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
15
29
Passing 1st downs
9
16
Rushing 1st downs
4
12
Penalty 1st downs
2
1
3rd Down %
45%
55%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
11
11
Red Zone %
NaN%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
--
4
Red Zone Attempts
--
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
1
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-4.72
Sacks
2
3
Sack Yards
-16
-13
Sack EPA
-3.47
-7.59
Penalties
4
5
Penalty Yards
31
41
Penalty EPA
-3.97
-3.19
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Texans Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
27
Yards / Game
30
22
Passing Yards / Game
17
16
Rushing Yards / Game
30
23
EPA
EPA / Play
29
25
EPA / Pass
32
19
EPA / Rush
18
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
16
Interceptions / Game
26
23
Fumbles / Game
25
12
Turnover EPA / Game
20
12
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
16
4th Down Efficiency
15
32
RZ Efficiency
3
29
Texans Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
32
Yards / Game
3
32
Passing Yards / Game
2
30
Rushing Yards / Game
12
32
EPA
EPA / Play
13
31
EPA / Pass
12
32
EPA / Rush
8
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
6
2
Interceptions / Game
29
32
Fumbles / Game
12
9
Turnover EPA / Game
4
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
29
4th Down Efficiency
7
22
RZ Efficiency
27
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
1-9
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Texans
4-6
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U