DETLions
0-4
10
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
012
MINVikings
2-3
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
0
3
7
0
10
Vikings
0
0
7
3
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
212
392
Total Plays
51
69
Yards / Play
4.2
5.7
EPA / Play
-0.21
-0.18
Passing Yards
112
257
Comp/Att
12/21(57%)
18/33(55%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
7.8
EPA / Pass
-0.44
-0.11
Rushing Yards
100
135
Rush Attempts
24
31
Yards / Rush
4.2
4.4
EPA / Rush
-0.22
-0.41
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
8
18
Passing 1st downs
5
11
Rushing 1st downs
2
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
15%
20%
3rd Down Conversions
2
3
3rd Down Attempts
13
15
Red Zone %
50%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
2
Turnover EPA
-3.68
-11.32
Sacks
6
5
Sack Yards
-38
-39
Sack EPA
-7.84
-8.46
Penalties
5
7
Penalty Yards
96
99
Penalty EPA
-8.20
-6.59
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
12
Yards / Game
30
8
Passing Yards / Game
17
28
Rushing Yards / Game
30
2
EPA
EPA / Play
29
5
EPA / Pass
32
7
EPA / Rush
18
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
7
Interceptions / Game
26
21
Fumbles / Game
25
3
Turnover EPA / Game
20
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
4
4th Down Efficiency
15
4
RZ Efficiency
3
4
Vikings Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
32
Yards / Game
17
32
Passing Yards / Game
11
30
Rushing Yards / Game
4
32
EPA
EPA / Play
27
31
EPA / Pass
26
32
EPA / Rush
15
28
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
30
2
Interceptions / Game
23
32
Fumbles / Game
23
9
Turnover EPA / Game
5
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
29
4th Down Efficiency
15
22
RZ Efficiency
28
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
1-9
SU
1-9
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Vikings
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U