DETLions
6-5
10
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
042
MINVikings
5-6
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Lions
3
7
0
0
10
Vikings
7
28
7
0
42
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
254
443
Total Plays
46
66
Yards / Play
5.5
6.7
EPA / Play
-0.06
+0.44
Passing Yards
231
227
Comp/Att
27/36(75%)
19/26(73%)
Yards / Pass
6.4
8.7
EPA / Pass
-0.07
+0.51
Rushing Yards
23
216
Rush Attempts
7
39
Yards / Rush
3.3
5.5
EPA / Rush
-0.34
+0.28
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
14
29
Passing 1st downs
12
13
Rushing 1st downs
2
15
Penalty 1st downs
--
1
3rd Down %
30%
60%
3rd Down Conversions
3
6
3rd Down Attempts
10
10
Red Zone %
50%
83%
Red Zone Conversions
1
5
Red Zone Attempts
2
6
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-6.46
-4.61
Sacks
3
1
Sack Yards
-29
-4
Sack EPA
-5.17
-1.36
Penalties
6
4
Penalty Yards
48
25
Penalty EPA
-6.67
-1.66
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
DETLionsFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Lions Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
16
10
Yards / Game
19
20
Passing Yards / Game
4
32
Rushing Yards / Game
31
1
EPA
EPA / Play
22
3
EPA / Pass
20
16
EPA / Rush
25
1
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
13
Interceptions / Game
30
13
Fumbles / Game
22
9
Turnover EPA / Game
4
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
16
4th Down Efficiency
21
8
RZ Efficiency
18
5
Vikings Offense vs Lions Defense
Total
Points / Game
15
32
Yards / Game
13
32
Passing Yards / Game
26
28
Rushing Yards / Game
1
23
EPA
EPA / Play
17
25
EPA / Pass
21
26
EPA / Rush
5
14
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
19
4
Interceptions / Game
6
13
Fumbles / Game
26
2
Turnover EPA / Game
9
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
26
30
4th Down Efficiency
13
30
RZ Efficiency
4
31
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Lions
5-5
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Vikings
4-6
SU
4-4-2
ATS
0-0-10
O/U