Betting Card

NFL Games with a projected +EV side

Total Games

15

+EV Games

4

Leans

2

Expected Units

+0.29

+EV Bets

HOU logo
HOU
4-5
@
TEN
1-8
TEN logo
Game Details
00:00 PM
Nissan Stadium
64°F
8 mph
Quarterbacks
D. Mills headshot
D. Mills
Adj: -16.7
C. Ward
Adj: -26.6
C. Ward headshot
Model Recommendation
Houston Texans
Texans-5.5
Market Line-5.5
Model Line-7.5
Cover Probability62.7%
Expected Value+19.8%
GB logo
GB
5-3
@
NYG
2-8
NYG logo
Game Details
00:00 PM
MetLife Stadium
55°F
17 mph
Quarterbacks
J. Love headshot
J. Love
Adj: 8.2
J. Winston
Adj: -26.7
J. Winston headshot
Model Recommendation
New York Giants
Giants+7.5
Market Line+7.5
Model Line+7
Cover Probability55.3%
Expected Value+5.5%
WAS logo
WAS
3-7
@
MIA
3-7
MIA logo
Game Details
00:00 PM
Hard Rock Stadium
70°F
N/A
Quarterbacks
M. Mariota headshot
M. Mariota
Adj: -36.9
T. Tagovailoa
Adj: -16.5
T. Tagovailoa headshot
Model Recommendation
Washington Commanders
Commanders+2.5
Market Line+2.5
Model LineN/A
Cover Probability53.8%
Expected Value+2.7%
NYJ logo
NYJ
2-7
@
NE
8-2
NE logo
Game Details
00:00 PM
Gillette Stadium
39°F
9 mph
Quarterbacks
J. Fields headshot
J. Fields
Adj: -15.1
D. Maye
Adj: 17.1
D. Maye headshot
Model Recommendation
New York Jets
Jets+12.5
Market Line+12.5
Model Line+11
Cover Probability52.8%
Expected Value+0.7%

Simulated Unit Outcomes

Negative Weeks
59%
Positive Weeks
41%