Model Performance
NFL Model Performance
| Season | Model SU% | vs Close | Model MAE | vs Close | Open Bets | ATS | Units | CLV | Close Bets | ATS | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 68.4% | -1.0% | 11.3 | 0.02 | 85 | 54.1% | +3.1 | 3.89% | 86 | 51.9% | -0.9 |
| 2010 | 65.8% | 0.0% | 10.8 | 0.08 | 90 | 55.1% | +5.0 | 5.33% | 78 | 49.4% | -4.9 |
| 2011 | 68.2% | 1.5% | 10.4 | -0.11 | 78 | 67.6% | +23.6 | 5.09% | 90 | 59.3% | +12.5 |
| 2012 | 64.7% | 0.1% | 10.8 | 0.06 | 63 | 52.4% | 0.0 | 5.49% | 76 | 44.6% | -12.1 |
| 2013 | 69.4% | -1.6% | 9.8 | -0.04 | 81 | 52.0% | -0.6 | 5.13% | 84 | 62.5% | +17.0 |
| 2014 | 68.3% | 1.0% | 11.3 | -0.05 | 69 | 48.5% | -5.4 | 4.73% | 79 | 55.1% | +4.5 |
| 2015 | 65.4% | 2.4% | 10.0 | -0.12 | 75 | 64.4% | +18.4 | 4.27% | 76 | 64.4% | +18.4 |
| 2016 | 64.4% | -1.9% | 9.0 | -0.02 | 72 | 59.2% | +10.1 | 5.69% | 76 | 60.3% | +12.1 |
| 2017 | 69.8% | 0.1% | 10.1 | -0.03 | 64 | 59.4% | +9.4 | 4.78% | 78 | 55.8% | +5.6 |
| 2018 | 64.4% | -0.9% | 9.9 | 0.04 | 72 | 54.9% | +3.8 | 5.81% | 72 | 56.3% | +5.9 |
| 2019 | 64.2% | -1.1% | 10.2 | 0.10 | 64 | 59.7% | +9.5 | 4.93% | 81 | 47.4% | -8.1 |
| 2020 | 68.0% | -0.3% | 9.8 | 0.12 | 98 | 61.1% | +17.3 | 5.43% | 88 | 50.0% | -4.3 |
| 2021 | 60.9% | -2.2% | 10.7 | 0.06 | 64 | 52.4% | 0.0 | 5.51% | 84 | 48.8% | -6.2 |
| 2022 | 66.9% | 1.0% | 8.7 | -0.03 | 74 | 60.3% | +12.1 | 5.22% | 71 | 58.6% | +9.1 |
| 2023 | 67.3% | -0.2% | 10.1 | 0.05 | 82 | 61.0% | +14.8 | 13.50% | 61 | 50.8% | -1.9 |
| 2024 | 70.5% | 0.0% | 9.8 | 0.09 | 69 | 54.5% | +3.0 | 4.65% | 76 | 47.9% | -6.8 |
| 2025 | 65.7% | 0.4% | 9.7 | 0.05 | 78 | 50.0% | -3.8 | 5.22% | 67 | 49.3% | -4.4 |