Model Performance
NFL Model Performance
| Season | Model SU% | vs Close | Model MAE | vs Close | Open Bets | ATS | Units | CLV | Close Bets | ATS | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 68.4% | -1.0% | 11.3 | 0.02 | 85 | 54.1% | +3.1 | 3.89% | 86 | 51.9% | -0.9 |
| 2010 | 65.8% | 0.0% | 10.8 | 0.08 | 92 | 53.3% | +1.8 | 4.80% | 80 | 48.7% | -6.0 |
| 2011 | 68.2% | 1.5% | 10.4 | -0.12 | 78 | 66.2% | +21.5 | 5.29% | 93 | 61.8% | +17.6 |
| 2012 | 64.7% | 0.1% | 10.8 | 0.06 | 60 | 53.3% | +1.2 | 5.60% | 78 | 42.1% | -16.4 |
| 2013 | 69.8% | -1.2% | 9.8 | -0.04 | 84 | 52.6% | +0.3 | 5.30% | 82 | 62.8% | +17.1 |
| 2014 | 68.3% | 1.0% | 11.3 | -0.04 | 69 | 50.0% | -3.3 | 4.83% | 81 | 55.0% | +4.4 |
| 2015 | 65.4% | 2.4% | 10.0 | -0.13 | 74 | 64.4% | +18.4 | 4.70% | 77 | 64.9% | +19.4 |
| 2016 | 64.4% | -1.9% | 9.0 | -0.02 | 69 | 60.3% | +11.3 | 6.03% | 75 | 61.1% | +13.2 |
| 2017 | 69.8% | 0.1% | 10.0 | -0.04 | 66 | 60.6% | +11.4 | 4.47% | 77 | 56.6% | +6.7 |
| 2018 | 64.4% | -0.9% | 9.9 | 0.03 | 72 | 54.9% | +3.8 | 5.98% | 69 | 54.4% | +2.9 |
| 2019 | 64.2% | -1.1% | 10.2 | 0.09 | 64 | 61.3% | +11.6 | 5.55% | 81 | 51.3% | -1.8 |
| 2020 | 68.0% | -0.3% | 9.8 | 0.10 | 100 | 59.8% | +15.1 | 5.46% | 93 | 51.6% | -1.4 |
| 2021 | 60.6% | -2.4% | 10.7 | 0.05 | 64 | 52.4% | 0.0 | 6.22% | 86 | 50.0% | -4.2 |
| 2022 | 66.5% | 0.6% | 8.7 | -0.04 | 74 | 60.3% | +12.1 | 5.22% | 71 | 58.6% | +9.1 |
| 2023 | 67.3% | -0.2% | 10.0 | 0.04 | 79 | 60.8% | +13.9 | 13.57% | 58 | 50.0% | -2.8 |
| 2024 | 70.2% | -0.4% | 9.8 | 0.08 | 72 | 53.6% | +1.8 | 4.53% | 75 | 48.6% | -5.7 |
| 2025 | 67.1% | 1.0% | 9.8 | 0.07 | 56 | 43.6% | -10.1 | 6.35% | 44 | 45.5% | -6.4 |