Model Performance
NFL Model Performance
| Season | Model SU% | vs Close | Model MAE | vs Close | Open Bets | ATS | Units | CLV | Close Bets | ATS | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009 | 69.3% | 0.4% | 11.2 | -0.04 | 152 | 54.1% | +3.5 | 3.86% | 155 | 55.8% | +8.7 |
| 2010 | 65.5% | 0.0% | 10.7 | -0.03 | 129 | 54.9% | +4.3 | 5.19% | 137 | 53.9% | +3.3 |
| 2011 | 67.4% | 0.7% | 10.4 | -0.12 | 145 | 67.1% | +21.7 | 2.84% | 151 | 60.0% | +14.4 |
| 2012 | 64.7% | 0.4% | 10.8 | 0.03 | 135 | 46.6% | -7.1 | 3.62% | 131 | 50.0% | -4.6 |
| 2013 | 69.8% | -1.1% | 9.8 | 0.01 | 133 | 53.3% | +1.5 | 2.88% | 136 | 51.5% | -2.0 |
| 2014 | 66.5% | 0.0% | 11.3 | 0.02 | 119 | 52.2% | -0.2 | 3.02% | 131 | 54.4% | +3.9 |
| 2015 | 63.7% | 1.1% | 10.0 | -0.12 | 109 | 68.8% | +22.0 | 3.19% | 131 | 62.4% | +19.5 |
| 2016 | 63.4% | -1.5% | 9.0 | 0.01 | 116 | 63.8% | +16.5 | 3.93% | 137 | 46.9% | -13.0 |
| 2017 | 70.7% | 0.8% | 10.1 | -0.01 | 112 | 57.1% | +7.0 | 4.52% | 127 | 51.0% | -3.0 |
| 2018 | 67.9% | 2.6% | 9.7 | -0.13 | 98 | 57.6% | +7.2 | 2.68% | 112 | 58.4% | +11.3 |
| 2019 | 64.3% | -0.4% | 10.2 | 0.04 | 97 | 56.9% | +5.5 | 3.24% | 106 | 48.6% | -5.8 |
| 2020 | 69.4% | 1.5% | 9.7 | 0.02 | 132 | 58.9% | +14.6 | 5.58% | 150 | 56.3% | +9.8 |
| 2021 | 62.7% | 0.4% | 10.6 | -0.01 | 106 | 55.6% | +4.2 | 4.04% | 142 | 55.0% | +6.1 |
| 2022 | 65.2% | -0.7% | 8.7 | -0.04 | 131 | 56.9% | +6.9 | 3.31% | 133 | 50.5% | -4.0 |
| 2023 | 67.3% | 0.1% | 10.0 | 0.05 | 122 | 65.8% | +20.5 | 9.10% | 127 | 54.5% | +4.0 |
| 2024 | 69.5% | -1.1% | 9.8 | 0.12 | 131 | 47.3% | -9.9 | 0.82% | 141 | 46.2% | -12.0 |
| 2025 | 64.8% | -0.7% | 9.7 | 0.04 | 103 | 55.1% | +4.5 | 1.86% | 103 | 50.0% | -4.0 |
| 2026 | 0.0% | -- | 0.0 | -- | 6 | 0.0% | -5.5 | 0.00% | 7 | 0.0% | -6.6 |