GBPackers
4-3
28
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
82°F
13 mph
38
TBBuccaneers
0-7
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
82°F
13 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
14
7
0
7
28
Buccaneers
7
4
0
15
26
Spread
+10
Total
OVER
43
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
404
281
Total Plays
73
59
Yards / Play
5.5
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.14
-0.04
Passing Yards
234
200
Comp/Att
17/35(49%)
14/33(42%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
6.1
EPA / Pass
-0.29
+0.12
Rushing Yards
170
81
Rush Attempts
32
25
Yards / Rush
5.3
3.2
EPA / Rush
+0.30
-0.23
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
17
Passing 1st downs
10
12
Rushing 1st downs
10
3
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
36%
25%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
12
Red Zone %
100%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
3
1
Interceptions
3
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-15.15
-3.90
Sacks
6
1
Sack Yards
-32
-7
Sack EPA
-6.24
-1.01
Penalties
5
2
Penalty Yards
35
--
Penalty EPA
-2.13
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-10.5
Current
-10.0
Model
-7.0
Win Probability
Market80.1%
Model74.0%
Spread Pick
Buccaneers+10.0
Expected Value
+24.6%
Cover Probability
62.5%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-133
Home nfelo
1,349
Away nfelo
1,588
Home Field
+91.6
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
+17.9
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+11.2
Net QB Adjustment
+14.8
Home QB Adjustment
+33.7
Away QB Adjustment
+18.9
Market Regression
+6.4
Final Difference
-181.6
Model Spread
+7.0
Quarterbacks
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+18.9
J. Freeman
Proj. Value
-3.2
Team Elo Adj
+33.7
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
27
Yards / Game
3
26
Passing Yards / Game
1
11
Rushing Yards / Game
16
32
EPA
EPA / Play
4
19
EPA / Pass
5
22
EPA / Rush
5
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
20
Interceptions / Game
2
9
Fumbles / Game
11
23
Turnover EPA / Game
28
21
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
23
4th Down Efficiency
20
26
RZ Efficiency
7
14
Buccaneers Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
30
15
Yards / Game
28
3
Passing Yards / Game
25
10
Rushing Yards / Game
22
2
EPA
EPA / Play
31
5
EPA / Pass
28
8
EPA / Rush
24
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
1
Interceptions / Game
31
1
Fumbles / Game
2
19
Turnover EPA / Game
4
32
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
9
4th Down Efficiency
23
4
RZ Efficiency
14
28
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
5-5
SU
5-5
ATS
4-3-3
O/U
Buccaneers
0-10
SU
2-8
ATS
4-3-3
O/U