GBPackers
9-8
48
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
032
DALCowboys
12-5
TBD
AT&T Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
7
14
14
7
42
Cowboys
0
7
9
16
32
Spread
+7
Total
OVER
52.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
415
514
Total Plays
54
91
Yards / Play
7.7
5.6
EPA / Play
+0.49
+0.05
Passing Yards
--
387
Comp/Att
16/21(76%)
41/60(68%)
Yards / Pass
--
6.5
EPA / Pass
+1.14
-0.06
Rushing Yards
143
127
Rush Attempts
33
27
Yards / Rush
4.3
4.7
EPA / Rush
+0.04
+0.31
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
37
Passing 1st downs
11
25
Rushing 1st downs
10
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
4
3rd Down %
60%
63%
3rd Down Conversions
6
10
3rd Down Attempts
10
16
Red Zone %
100%
80%
Red Zone Conversions
4
4
Red Zone Attempts
4
5
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
2
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
-14.16
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-16
Sack EPA
--
-5.78
Penalties
7
6
Penalty Yards
66
48
Penalty EPA
-6.71
-3.30
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
DALCowboysFavored
Opening
-7.0
Current
-7.0
Model
-8.5
Win Probability
Market72.8%
Model77.3%
Spread Pick
Cowboys-7.0
Expected Value
+9.7%
Cover Probability
53.6%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+251
Home nfelo
1,674
Away nfelo
1,497
Home Field
+62.1
Base HFA
+46.0
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.1
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-10.7
Home QB Adjustment
+19.2
Away QB Adjustment
+29.9
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
213.0
Model Spread
-8.5
Quarterbacks
J. Love
Proj. Value
+0.5
Team Elo Adj
+29.9
R. Prescott
Proj. Value
+1.6
Team Elo Adj
+19.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Cowboys Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
9
Yards / Game
10
7
Passing Yards / Game
25
12
Rushing Yards / Game
14
18
EPA
EPA / Play
5
9
EPA / Pass
2
7
EPA / Rush
14
13
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
17
Interceptions / Game
14
11
Fumbles / Game
5
18
Turnover EPA / Game
30
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
17
4th Down Efficiency
16
20
RZ Efficiency
17
22
Cowboys Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
1
13
Yards / Game
4
22
Passing Yards / Game
15
26
Rushing Yards / Game
15
28
EPA
EPA / Play
2
25
EPA / Pass
3
23
EPA / Rush
7
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
14
30
Interceptions / Game
13
28
Fumbles / Game
4
12
Turnover EPA / Game
17
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
2
28
4th Down Efficiency
15
5
RZ Efficiency
12
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
7-3
SU
6-4
ATS
7-3
O/U
Cowboys
7-3
SU
5-5
ATS
5-4-1
O/U