GBPackers
-
27
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
69°F
4 mph
20
PHIEagles
-
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
69°F
4 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
0
13
14
0
27
Eagles
3
0
7
10
20
Spread
-3
Total
UNDER
47.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
299
321
Total Plays
67
60
Yards / Play
4.5
5.3
EPA / Play
+0.18
+0.04
Passing Yards
167
171
Comp/Att
19/31(61%)
21/34(62%)
Yards / Pass
5.4
5.0
EPA / Pass
+0.03
-0.18
Rushing Yards
132
150
Rush Attempts
33
21
Yards / Rush
4.0
7.1
EPA / Rush
+0.04
+0.29
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
22
16
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
1
1
3rd Down %
43%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
6
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
100%
67%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
2
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
2
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-5.27
-4.05
Sacks
3
5
Sack Yards
-21
-28
Sack EPA
-4.65
-6.47
Penalties
2
10
Penalty Yards
15
80
Penalty EPA
-1.96
-8.62
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
+1.0
Current
-3.0
Model
-0.5
Win Probability
Market59.7%
Model51.6%
Spread Pick
Eagles+3.0
Expected Value
+9.1%
Cover Probability
53.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+37
Home nfelo
1,595
Away nfelo
1,586
Home Field
+51.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-11.2
Net QB Adjustment
-22.5
Home QB Adjustment
-3.1
Away QB Adjustment
+19.4
Market Regression
-26.4
Final Difference
-11.1
Model Spread
+0.5
Quarterbacks
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+19.4
K. Kolb
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-3.1
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
7
21
Yards / Game
9
12
Passing Yards / Game
7
23
Rushing Yards / Game
24
15
EPA
EPA / Play
4
24
EPA / Pass
3
23
EPA / Rush
11
18
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
28
4
Interceptions / Game
7
3
Fumbles / Game
11
9
Turnover EPA / Game
27
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
21
4th Down Efficiency
25
9
RZ Efficiency
4
32
Eagles Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
3
1
Yards / Game
2
5
Passing Yards / Game
3
14
Rushing Yards / Game
5
12
EPA
EPA / Play
5
4
EPA / Pass
11
1
EPA / Rush
1
19
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
14
Interceptions / Game
12
1
Fumbles / Game
20
26
Turnover EPA / Game
25
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
16
9
4th Down Efficiency
1
4
RZ Efficiency
15
14
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
7-3
SU
7-2-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Eagles
6-4
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U