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  1. nfelo...
  2. predictions...
  3. packers @ eagles week 19, 2003

Game Summary

Spread
Total

Model

Quarterbacks

Matchup

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GB logo
GBPackers
11-6
17
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
25°F
13 mph
20
PHIEagles
12-4
PHI logo
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
25°F
13 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
OT
Total
Packers
14
0
0
3
0
17
Eagles
0
7
0
10
3
20

Game Statistics

General
Packers logo
Eagles logo
Total Yards
381
363
Total Plays
66
72
Yards / Play
5.8
5.0
EPA / Play
+0.02
+0.01
Passing Yards
171
199
Comp/Att
15/28(54%)
21/39(54%)
Yards / Pass
6.1
5.1
EPA / Pass
-0.05
-0.13
Rushing Yards
210
164
Rush Attempts
37
25
Yards / Rush
5.7
6.6
EPA / Rush
+0.07
+0.04
Downs & Conversions
Packers logo
Eagles logo
1st Downs
16
19
Passing 1st downs
7
13
Rushing 1st downs
9
6
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
53%
24%
3rd Down Conversions
10
4
3rd Down Attempts
19
17
Red Zone %
33%
40%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
5
Negative Plays
Packers logo
Eagles logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
-4.27
-4.77
Sacks
1
8
Sack Yards
-9
-49
Sack EPA
-2.86
-13.74
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
45
--
Penalty EPA
-4.39
--

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
GB logo
GBPackersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Packers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Packers logo
Eagles logo

Total

Points / Game
4
6
Yards / Game
4
19
Passing Yards / Game
30
21
Rushing Yards / Game
3
23

EPA

EPA / Play
3
13
EPA / Pass
6
11
EPA / Rush
6
29

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
26
2
Interceptions / Game
23
27
Fumbles / Game
5
4
Turnover EPA / Game
16
11

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
9
9
4th Down Efficiency
5
5
RZ Efficiency
2
13
Eagles Offense vs Packers Defense
Eagles logo
Packers logo

Total

Points / Game
12
10
Yards / Game
17
16
Passing Yards / Game
17
20
Rushing Yards / Game
9
11

EPA

EPA / Play
8
12
EPA / Pass
18
8
EPA / Rush
1
20

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
17
31
Interceptions / Game
7
11
Fumbles / Game
8
4
Turnover EPA / Game
25
24

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
22
10
4th Down Efficiency
9
3
RZ Efficiency
6
5

Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)

GB logo

Packers

8-2
SU
7-3
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
11/02
3
W
W
P
11/10
-3
L
L
P
11/16
7
W
W
P
11/23
10
W
W
P
11/27
-8
L
L
P
12/07
13
W
W
P
12/14
17
W
W
P
12/22
34
W
W
P
12/28
28
W
W
P
01/04
6
W
L
P
PHI logo

Eagles

9-1
SU
9-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Margin
W/L
ATS
O/U
10/26
7
W
W
P
11/02
7
W
W
P
11/10
3
W
W
P
11/16
18
W
W
P
11/23
13
W
W
P
11/30
9
W
W
P
12/07
26
W
W
P
12/15
7
W
W
P
12/21
-3
L
L
P
12/27
24
W
W
P