GBPackers
11-6
10
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
40°F
6 mph
22
PHIEagles
14-3
TBD
Lincoln Financial Field
40°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
0
0
3
7
10
Eagles
10
0
6
6
22
Spread
-5.5
Total
UNDER
46.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
302
290
Total Plays
60
57
Yards / Play
5.0
5.1
EPA / Play
-0.25
-0.02
Passing Yards
195
121
Comp/Att
20/33(61%)
13/21(62%)
Yards / Pass
5.9
5.8
EPA / Pass
-0.17
+0.03
Rushing Yards
107
169
Rush Attempts
25
34
Yards / Rush
4.3
5.0
EPA / Rush
+0.04
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
16
Passing 1st downs
12
6
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
54%
18%
3rd Down Conversions
7
2
3rd Down Attempts
13
11
Red Zone %
33%
25%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
4
0
Interceptions
3
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-13.67
--
Sacks
2
2
Sack Yards
-17
-10
Sack EPA
-3.48
-2.32
Penalties
8
7
Penalty Yards
85
64
Penalty EPA
-8.21
-6.88
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
PHIEaglesFavored
Opening
-4.5
Current
-5.5
Model
-4.0
Win Probability
Market68.0%
Model64.7%
Spread Pick
Packers+5.5
Expected Value
+0.8%
Cover Probability
52.8%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+64
Home nfelo
1,658
Away nfelo
1,641
Home Field
+31.9
Base HFA
+38.9
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
-7.0
Net QB Adjustment
+10.0
Home QB Adjustment
+3.2
Away QB Adjustment
-6.8
Market Regression
-10.5
Final Difference
105.5
Model Spread
-4.0
Quarterbacks
J. Love
Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
-6.8
J. Hurts
Proj. Value
+2.4
Team Elo Adj
+3.2
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Eagles Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
1
Yards / Game
7
1
Passing Yards / Game
29
14
Rushing Yards / Game
6
4
EPA
EPA / Play
9
1
EPA / Pass
8
1
EPA / Rush
8
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
12
Interceptions / Game
20
6
Fumbles / Game
19
1
Turnover EPA / Game
16
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
10
8
4th Down Efficiency
23
21
RZ Efficiency
10
6
Eagles Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
5
5
Yards / Game
8
4
Passing Yards / Game
25
22
Rushing Yards / Game
2
7
EPA
EPA / Play
7
5
EPA / Pass
7
5
EPA / Rush
4
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
31
Interceptions / Game
3
3
Fumbles / Game
8
4
Turnover EPA / Game
31
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
7
4th Down Efficiency
3
22
RZ Efficiency
10
16
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
6-4
SU
4-5-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Eagles
9-1
SU
7-3
ATS
4-6
O/U