GBPackers
5-8
16
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
67°F
6 mph
20
JAXJaguars
4-9
TBD
TIAA Bank Stadium
67°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
3
10
0
3
16
Jaguars
7
0
0
13
20
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
338
323
Total Plays
63
55
Yards / Play
5.4
5.9
EPA / Play
+0.10
+0.17
Passing Yards
254
229
Comp/Att
20/32(63%)
21/33(64%)
Yards / Pass
7.9
6.9
EPA / Pass
+0.33
+0.14
Rushing Yards
84
94
Rush Attempts
28
20
Yards / Rush
3.0
4.7
EPA / Rush
-0.20
+0.36
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
18
18
Passing 1st downs
13
8
Rushing 1st downs
4
8
Penalty 1st downs
1
2
3rd Down %
63%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
10
6
3rd Down Attempts
16
12
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-1.38
--
Sacks
3
2
Sack Yards
-24
-9
Sack EPA
-3.91
-2.64
Penalties
3
6
Penalty Yards
30
58
Penalty EPA
-1.21
-4.72
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Jaguars Defense
Total
Points / Game
4
21
Yards / Game
9
18
Passing Yards / Game
9
14
Rushing Yards / Game
17
14
EPA
EPA / Play
8
26
EPA / Pass
7
30
EPA / Rush
14
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
9
8
Interceptions / Game
11
18
Fumbles / Game
6
32
Turnover EPA / Game
26
6
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
5
21
4th Down Efficiency
21
10
RZ Efficiency
4
25
Jaguars Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
24
22
Yards / Game
20
20
Passing Yards / Game
6
19
Rushing Yards / Game
18
26
EPA
EPA / Play
18
17
EPA / Pass
19
5
EPA / Rush
6
32
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
14
Interceptions / Game
11
3
Fumbles / Game
20
26
Turnover EPA / Game
16
30
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
15
13
4th Down Efficiency
8
31
RZ Efficiency
15
24
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
3-7
SU
5-5
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Jaguars
3-7
SU
2-8
ATS
0-0-10
O/U