GBPackers
6-8
33
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
67°F
1 mph
30
CARPanthers
2-12
TBD
Bank of America Stadium
67°F
1 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
7
16
0
10
33
Panthers
3
7
6
14
30
Spread
+3.5
Total
OVER
39.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
369
396
Total Plays
63
64
Yards / Play
5.9
6.2
EPA / Play
+0.33
+0.25
Passing Yards
207
298
Comp/Att
17/28(61%)
23/36(64%)
Yards / Pass
7.4
8.3
EPA / Pass
+0.40
+0.30
Rushing Yards
162
98
Rush Attempts
34
26
Yards / Rush
4.8
3.8
EPA / Rush
+0.15
-0.03
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
26
Passing 1st downs
12
14
Rushing 1st downs
10
8
Penalty 1st downs
3
4
3rd Down %
57%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
8
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
75%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
3
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
0
Interceptions
0
0
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
--
--
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-12
-14
Sack EPA
-2.39
-3.53
Penalties
6
8
Penalty Yards
67
87
Penalty EPA
-12.54
-3.76
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-5.5
Current
-3.5
Model
-3.5
Win Probability
Market62.9%
Model62.9%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-120
Home nfelo
1,359
Away nfelo
1,484
Home Field
+53.5
Base HFA
+45.4
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+8.1
Net QB Adjustment
-48.5
Home QB Adjustment
-38.9
Away QB Adjustment
+9.5
Market Regression
+43.2
Final Difference
-91.7
Model Spread
+3.5
Quarterbacks
J. Love
Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+9.5
B. Young
Proj. Value
-1.2
Team Elo Adj
-38.9
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
29
Yards / Game
10
3
Passing Yards / Game
25
1
Rushing Yards / Game
14
23
EPA
EPA / Play
5
27
EPA / Pass
2
17
EPA / Rush
14
27
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
2
Interceptions / Game
14
29
Fumbles / Game
5
32
Turnover EPA / Game
30
1
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
14
4th Down Efficiency
16
31
RZ Efficiency
17
28
Panthers Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
31
13
Yards / Game
32
22
Passing Yards / Game
28
26
Rushing Yards / Game
20
28
EPA
EPA / Play
29
25
EPA / Pass
30
23
EPA / Rush
18
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
1
30
Interceptions / Game
6
28
Fumbles / Game
22
12
Turnover EPA / Game
11
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
27
28
4th Down Efficiency
21
5
RZ Efficiency
21
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
4-6
SU
4-6
ATS
5-5
O/U
Panthers
2-8
SU
3-6-1
ATS
3-6-1
O/U