GBPackers
4-1
28
TBD
Gillette Stadium
61°F
10 mph
10
NEPatriots
3-2
TBD
Gillette Stadium
61°F
10 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
0
14
7
7
28
Patriots
0
3
0
7
10
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
301
289
Total Plays
64
68
Yards / Play
4.7
4.3
EPA / Play
+0.19
-0.13
Passing Yards
143
166
Comp/Att
17/27(63%)
24/44(55%)
Yards / Pass
5.3
3.8
EPA / Pass
+0.24
-0.30
Rushing Yards
158
123
Rush Attempts
36
22
Yards / Rush
4.4
5.6
EPA / Rush
+0.05
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
20
20
Passing 1st downs
9
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
9
Penalty 1st downs
4
2
3rd Down %
36%
46%
3rd Down Conversions
5
6
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
4
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
4
Interceptions
0
3
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-12.13
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-4
-17
Sack EPA
-1.26
-3.28
Penalties
5
12
Penalty Yards
--
126
Penalty EPA
--
-14.55
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Patriots Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
15
Yards / Game
12
23
Passing Yards / Game
8
7
Rushing Yards / Game
14
31
EPA
EPA / Play
19
19
EPA / Pass
17
8
EPA / Rush
19
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
25
23
Interceptions / Game
20
12
Fumbles / Game
19
12
Turnover EPA / Game
11
27
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
26
4th Down Efficiency
21
27
RZ Efficiency
18
31
Patriots Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
10
12
Yards / Game
22
7
Passing Yards / Game
21
3
Rushing Yards / Game
28
24
EPA
EPA / Play
10
8
EPA / Pass
18
2
EPA / Rush
16
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
12
24
Interceptions / Game
9
4
Fumbles / Game
5
2
Turnover EPA / Game
26
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
8
5
4th Down Efficiency
20
5
RZ Efficiency
16
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
8-2
SU
4-6
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Patriots
8-2
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U