GBPackers
-
7
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
023
MINVikings
-
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
0
0
7
0
7
Vikings
7
10
3
3
23
Spread
-2
Total
UNDER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
338
395
Total Plays
61
61
Yards / Play
5.5
6.5
EPA / Play
-0.21
+0.10
Passing Yards
227
269
Comp/Att
26/39(67%)
23/32(72%)
Yards / Pass
5.8
8.4
EPA / Pass
-0.31
+0.29
Rushing Yards
111
126
Rush Attempts
18
28
Yards / Rush
6.2
4.5
EPA / Rush
+0.04
-0.05
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
19
Passing 1st downs
13
12
Rushing 1st downs
8
7
Penalty 1st downs
--
--
3rd Down %
33%
31%
3rd Down Conversions
3
4
3rd Down Attempts
9
13
Red Zone %
33%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
1
1
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
0
Interceptions
1
0
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-7.80
--
Sacks
4
1
Sack Yards
-33
-8
Sack EPA
-12.75
-2.16
Penalties
2
3
Penalty Yards
10
--
Penalty EPA
-0.79
--
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
MINVikingsFavored
Opening
-2.0
Current
-2.0
Model
-1.0
Win Probability
Market54.2%
Model52.3%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-6
Home nfelo
1,518
Away nfelo
1,547
Home Field
+33.0
Base HFA
+36.8
Divisional Adj
-16.6
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+12.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-9.1
Home QB Adjustment
+2.5
Away QB Adjustment
+11.5
Market Regression
--
Final Difference
15.9
Model Spread
-1.0
Quarterbacks
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+11.5
K. Cousins
Proj. Value
-1.0
Team Elo Adj
+2.5
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
14
30
Yards / Game
17
31
Passing Yards / Game
13
26
Rushing Yards / Game
15
21
EPA
EPA / Play
16
26
EPA / Pass
18
27
EPA / Rush
10
24
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
5
11
Interceptions / Game
10
12
Fumbles / Game
9
24
Turnover EPA / Game
17
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
17
15
4th Down Efficiency
27
6
RZ Efficiency
22
22
Vikings Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
16
Yards / Game
5
16
Passing Yards / Game
3
13
Rushing Yards / Game
29
26
EPA
EPA / Play
17
20
EPA / Pass
10
14
EPA / Rush
28
29
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
26
Interceptions / Game
21
5
Fumbles / Game
18
14
Turnover EPA / Game
10
22
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
11
7
4th Down Efficiency
22
23
RZ Efficiency
8
11
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
6-4
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U
Vikings
5-5
SU
6-4
ATS
8-2
O/U