GBPackers
6-0
33
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
027
MINVikings
1-5
TBD
Mall of America Field
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
7
6
20
0
33
Vikings
7
10
0
10
27
Spread
+10
Total
OVER
47
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
421
435
Total Plays
60
65
Yards / Play
7.0
6.7
EPA / Play
+0.32
+0.13
Passing Yards
307
217
Comp/Att
24/30(80%)
13/32(41%)
Yards / Pass
10.2
6.8
EPA / Pass
+0.53
-0.04
Rushing Yards
114
218
Rush Attempts
26
31
Yards / Rush
4.4
7.0
EPA / Rush
-0.15
+0.20
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
25
22
Passing 1st downs
16
12
Rushing 1st downs
6
9
Penalty 1st downs
3
1
3rd Down %
25%
56%
3rd Down Conversions
2
9
3rd Down Attempts
8
16
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
2
Red Zone Attempts
4
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-5.46
Sacks
4
2
Sack Yards
-28
-2
Sack EPA
-8.29
-2.26
Penalties
6
9
Penalty Yards
44
91
Penalty EPA
-6.34
-8.68
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
-9.5
Current
-10.0
Model
-8.0
Win Probability
Market80.1%
Model76.2%
Spread Pick
Vikings+10.0
Expected Value
+11.8%
Cover Probability
55.1%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-166
Home nfelo
1,479
Away nfelo
1,688
Home Field
+56.1
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+21.8
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-13.9
Home QB Adjustment
+13.1
Away QB Adjustment
+27.0
Market Regression
-1.9
Final Difference
-202.2
Model Spread
+8.0
Quarterbacks
A. Rodgers
Proj. Value
+0.3
Team Elo Adj
+27.0
C. Ponder
Proj. Value
-2.7
Team Elo Adj
+13.1
No recent game data available
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
2
31
Yards / Game
3
20
Passing Yards / Game
1
26
Rushing Yards / Game
25
10
EPA
EPA / Play
2
28
EPA / Pass
1
31
EPA / Rush
16
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
3
5
Interceptions / Game
2
31
Fumbles / Game
4
4
Turnover EPA / Game
31
18
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
29
4th Down Efficiency
12
26
RZ Efficiency
1
16
Vikings Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
18
22
Yards / Game
18
32
Passing Yards / Game
17
32
Rushing Yards / Game
4
13
EPA
EPA / Play
20
23
EPA / Pass
29
23
EPA / Rush
2
30
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
31
10
Interceptions / Game
21
1
Fumbles / Game
24
24
Turnover EPA / Game
15
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
14
27
4th Down Efficiency
17
3
RZ Efficiency
8
17
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
10-0
SU
9-1
ATS
5-5
O/U
Vikings
2-8
SU
3-6-1
ATS
4-6
O/U