GBPackers
7-8
33
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
010
MINVikings
7-8
TBD
U.S. Bank Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Packers
10
13
7
3
33
Vikings
0
3
0
7
10
Spread
+0
Total
OVER
42.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
470
211
Total Plays
73
52
Yards / Play
6.4
4.1
EPA / Play
+0.23
-0.24
Passing Yards
--
144
Comp/Att
25/34(74%)
18/32(56%)
Yards / Pass
--
4.5
EPA / Pass
+0.48
-0.60
Rushing Yards
177
67
Rush Attempts
39
16
Yards / Rush
4.5
4.2
EPA / Rush
+0.02
+0.12
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
28
13
Passing 1st downs
17
10
Rushing 1st downs
9
1
Penalty 1st downs
2
2
3rd Down %
64%
30%
3rd Down Conversions
9
3
3rd Down Attempts
14
10
Red Zone %
50%
33%
Red Zone Conversions
2
1
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
0
2
Turnover EPA
--
-2.55
Sacks
--
4
Sack Yards
--
-36
Sack EPA
--
-8.54
Penalties
4
6
Penalty Yards
32
27
Penalty EPA
-2.59
-4.55
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
GBPackersFavored
Opening
+2.0
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
Market50.0%
Model50.0%
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
-9
Home nfelo
1,531
Away nfelo
1,478
Home Field
+41.2
Base HFA
+45.9
Divisional Adj
-20.7
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
+16.0
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
-102.3
Home QB Adjustment
-88.2
Away QB Adjustment
+14.1
Market Regression
-14.7
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
J. Love
Proj. Value
+0.2
Team Elo Adj
+14.1
J. Hall
Proj. Value
-3.6
Team Elo Adj
-88.2
Value
Ptile
Team Matchup Ranks
Packers Offense vs Vikings Defense
Total
Points / Game
8
12
Yards / Game
10
16
Passing Yards / Game
25
28
Rushing Yards / Game
14
6
EPA
EPA / Play
5
16
EPA / Pass
2
21
EPA / Rush
14
8
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
17
10
Interceptions / Game
14
19
Fumbles / Game
5
8
Turnover EPA / Game
30
14
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
3
24
4th Down Efficiency
16
32
RZ Efficiency
17
14
Vikings Offense vs Packers Defense
Total
Points / Game
22
13
Yards / Game
11
22
Passing Yards / Game
2
26
Rushing Yards / Game
29
28
EPA
EPA / Play
21
25
EPA / Pass
17
23
EPA / Rush
17
26
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
13
30
Interceptions / Game
29
28
Fumbles / Game
29
12
Turnover EPA / Game
5
7
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
18
28
4th Down Efficiency
8
5
RZ Efficiency
29
13
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Packers
5-5
SU
4-6
ATS
6-4
O/U
Vikings
6-4
SU
6-2-2
ATS
4-6
O/U