CARPanthers
12-5
29
TBD
Soldier Field
40°F
15 mph
21
CHIBears
11-5
TBD
Soldier Field
40°F
15 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
7
9
7
6
29
Bears
0
7
7
7
21
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
434
282
Total Plays
65
69
Yards / Play
6.7
4.1
EPA / Play
+0.24
+0.04
Passing Yards
311
185
Comp/Att
24/33(73%)
17/41(41%)
Yards / Pass
9.4
4.5
EPA / Pass
+0.47
-0.17
Rushing Yards
123
97
Rush Attempts
31
27
Yards / Rush
4.0
3.6
EPA / Rush
-0.16
+0.16
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
21
23
Passing 1st downs
14
11
Rushing 1st downs
6
6
Penalty 1st downs
1
6
3rd Down %
42%
23%
3rd Down Conversions
5
3
3rd Down Attempts
12
13
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
3
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
0
0
Turnover EPA
-5.35
-2.31
Sacks
1
1
Sack Yards
-8
-7
Sack EPA
-2.39
-1.30
Penalties
9
4
Penalty Yards
50
19
Penalty EPA
-6.96
-1.89
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Bears Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
1
Yards / Game
21
4
Passing Yards / Game
20
11
Rushing Yards / Game
16
11
EPA
EPA / Play
9
1
EPA / Pass
8
1
EPA / Rush
18
4
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
20
Interceptions / Game
21
3
Fumbles / Game
11
22
Turnover EPA / Game
19
26
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
7
2
4th Down Efficiency
27
4
RZ Efficiency
10
1
Bears Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
26
4
Yards / Game
28
2
Passing Yards / Game
32
13
Rushing Yards / Game
9
6
EPA
EPA / Play
31
2
EPA / Pass
31
3
EPA / Rush
20
2
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
21
25
Interceptions / Game
13
4
Fumbles / Game
14
3
Turnover EPA / Game
26
31
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
31
19
4th Down Efficiency
17
5
RZ Efficiency
15
10
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
7-3
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bears
8-2
SU
6-3-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U