CAR logo
CAR
7-3
13
9
BUF
4-6
BUF logo
TBD
New Era Field
41°F
7 mph

Game Summary

Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
0
3
3
7
13
Bills
0
6
0
3
9

Game Statistics

General
Panthers logo
Bills logo
Total Yards
295
216
Total Plays
61
57
Yards / Play
4.8
3.8
EPA / Play
+0.08
-0.03
Passing Yards
182
163
Comp/Att
20/27(74%)
16/29(55%)
Yards / Pass
6.7
5.6
EPA / Pass
+0.33
+0.13
Rushing Yards
113
53
Rush Attempts
33
24
Yards / Rush
3.4
2.2
EPA / Rush
-0.02
-0.36
Downs & Conversions
Panthers logo
Bills logo
1st Downs
19
14
Passing 1st downs
11
9
Rushing 1st downs
7
5
Penalty 1st downs
1
--
3rd Down %
64%
38%
3rd Down Conversions
9
5
3rd Down Attempts
14
13
Red Zone %
33%
0%
Red Zone Conversions
1
--
Red Zone Attempts
3
3
Negative Plays
Panthers logo
Bills logo
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions
0
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-4.18
-1.43
Sacks
1
4
Sack Yards
-9
-34
Sack EPA
-4.18
-5.69
Penalties
4
4
Penalty Yards
--
31
Penalty EPA
--
-3.76

Preview data is limited for games before 2009

Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.

Model

Projected Winner
CAR logo
CARFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A

Win Probability

MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--

Quarterbacks

Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available

Team Matchup Ranks

Panthers Offense vs Bills Defense
Panthers logo
Bills logo

Total

Points / Game
9
24
Yards / Game
21
29
Passing Yards / Game
20
27
Rushing Yards / Game
16
30

EPA

EPA / Play
9
30
EPA / Pass
8
26
EPA / Rush
18
32

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
26
12
Interceptions / Game
21
11
Fumbles / Game
11
9
Turnover EPA / Game
19
21

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
7
32
4th Down Efficiency
27
23
RZ Efficiency
10
32
Bills Offense vs Panthers Defense
Bills logo
Panthers logo

Total

Points / Game
24
4
Yards / Game
29
2
Passing Yards / Game
22
13
Rushing Yards / Game
21
6

EPA

EPA / Play
17
2
EPA / Pass
21
3
EPA / Rush
23
2

Negative Plays

Sacks / Game
20
25
Interceptions / Game
17
4
Fumbles / Game
8
3
Turnover EPA / Game
22
31

Conversion

3rd Down Efficiency
21
19
4th Down Efficiency
24
5
RZ Efficiency
30
10