CARPanthers
1-11
24
TBD
New Era Field
40°F
6 mph
25
BUFBills
1-10
TBD
New Era Field
40°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
3
21
0
0
24
Bills
3
10
0
6
19
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
231
369
Total Plays
57
68
Yards / Play
4.1
5.4
EPA / Play
+0.04
+0.02
Passing Yards
--
267
Comp/Att
15/30(50%)
20/31(65%)
Yards / Pass
--
8.6
EPA / Pass
-0.29
+0.13
Rushing Yards
78
102
Rush Attempts
27
35
Yards / Rush
2.9
2.9
EPA / Rush
-0.10
-0.18
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
17
18
Passing 1st downs
8
11
Rushing 1st downs
5
6
Penalty 1st downs
4
1
3rd Down %
22%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
2
6
3rd Down Attempts
9
15
Red Zone %
100%
50%
Red Zone Conversions
3
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
4
Negative Plays
Turnovers
2
1
Interceptions
1
1
Fumbles
1
0
Turnover EPA
-8.47
-4.26
Sacks
--
2
Sack Yards
--
-10
Sack EPA
--
-3.11
Penalties
5
9
Penalty Yards
40
125
Penalty EPA
-4.59
-12.50
Preview data is limited for games before 2009
Model projections and totals are not available before 2009, meaning preview data is limited to spread and margin trends, and team stats.
Model
Projected Winner
CARPanthersFavored
Opening
N/A
Current
N/A
Model
N/A
Win Probability
MarketN/A
ModelN/A
Spread Pick
No +EV spread bet identified
Model finds no value in current lines
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
Home nfelo
Away nfelo
Home Field
Base HFA
Divisional Adj
Home Bye Adj
Away Bye Adj
Surface Adj
Time Adj
Net QB Adjustment
Home QB Adjustment
Away QB Adjustment
Market Regression
Final Difference
--
Model Spread
--
Quarterbacks
Quarterback Data Not Available
Quarterback Data Not Available
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Bills Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
29
Yards / Game
30
20
Passing Yards / Game
27
3
Rushing Yards / Game
29
26
EPA
EPA / Play
30
29
EPA / Pass
30
17
EPA / Rush
30
31
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
4
8
Interceptions / Game
25
29
Fumbles / Game
24
29
Turnover EPA / Game
4
5
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
30
28
4th Down Efficiency
30
15
RZ Efficiency
14
24
Bills Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
27
28
Yards / Game
13
31
Passing Yards / Game
11
18
Rushing Yards / Game
23
31
EPA
EPA / Play
23
20
EPA / Pass
21
25
EPA / Rush
16
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
20
Interceptions / Game
20
3
Fumbles / Game
20
23
Turnover EPA / Game
8
23
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
24
27
4th Down Efficiency
10
31
RZ Efficiency
16
21
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
0-10
SU
4-5-1
ATS
0-0-10
O/U
Bills
1-9
SU
3-7
ATS
0-0-10
O/U