CARPanthers
-
20
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
88°F
6 mph
14
TBBuccaneers
-
TBD
Raymond James Stadium
88°F
6 mph
Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
0
10
0
10
20
Buccaneers
0
0
0
14
14
Spread
+4.5
Total
UNDER
38.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
334
264
Total Plays
68
55
Yards / Play
4.9
4.8
EPA / Play
-0.03
-0.17
Passing Yards
221
162
Comp/Att
24/34(71%)
22/35(63%)
Yards / Pass
6.5
4.6
EPA / Pass
+0.25
-0.30
Rushing Yards
113
102
Rush Attempts
33
17
Yards / Rush
3.4
6.0
EPA / Rush
-0.19
+0.06
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
19
17
Passing 1st downs
14
10
Rushing 1st downs
5
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
2
3rd Down %
40%
50%
3rd Down Conversions
6
6
3rd Down Attempts
15
12
Red Zone %
33%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
1
2
Red Zone Attempts
3
2
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
3
Interceptions
0
2
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-14.63
Sacks
1
3
Sack Yards
-9
-21
Sack EPA
-2.34
-5.20
Penalties
6
3
Penalty Yards
55
15
Penalty EPA
-7.62
-1.78
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
TBBuccaneersFavored
Opening
+2.0
Current
-4.5
Model
-3.0
Win Probability
Market66.1%
Model59.9%
Spread Pick
Panthers+4.5
Expected Value
+14.3%
Cover Probability
59.9%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+19
Home nfelo
1,456
Away nfelo
1,538
Home Field
+34.3
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
-28.2
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
--
Net QB Adjustment
+67.6
Home QB Adjustment
+18.6
Away QB Adjustment
-49.0
Market Regression
+75.2
Final Difference
70.0
Model Spread
-3.0
Quarterbacks
D. Anderson
Proj. Value
-3.3
Team Elo Adj
-49.0
J. McCown
Proj. Value
-2.0
Team Elo Adj
+18.6
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Buccaneers Defense
Total
Points / Game
19
25
Yards / Game
15
24
Passing Yards / Game
20
24
Rushing Yards / Game
7
18
EPA
EPA / Play
17
24
EPA / Pass
19
28
EPA / Rush
11
7
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
22
3
Interceptions / Game
14
16
Fumbles / Game
14
10
Turnover EPA / Game
12
15
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
12
27
4th Down Efficiency
10
24
RZ Efficiency
25
29
Buccaneers Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
29
20
Yards / Game
30
6
Passing Yards / Game
14
19
Rushing Yards / Game
29
11
EPA
EPA / Play
29
16
EPA / Pass
27
14
EPA / Rush
25
21
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
14
Interceptions / Game
31
15
Fumbles / Game
22
4
Turnover EPA / Game
6
16
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
25
21
4th Down Efficiency
29
14
RZ Efficiency
18
29
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
8-2
SU
5-4-1
ATS
1-9
O/U
Buccaneers
4-6
SU
5-5
ATS
6-4
O/U