CARPanthers
2-4
34
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
021
ARICardinals
4-2
TBD
State Farm Stadium
70°F
0Game Summary
Scoring
1
2
3
4
Total
Panthers
7
15
0
6
28
Cardinals
7
0
7
7
21
Spread
+10
Total
OVER
43.5
Game Statistics
General
Total Yards
355
320
Total Plays
60
65
Yards / Play
5.9
4.9
EPA / Play
+0.06
-0.21
Passing Yards
85
226
Comp/Att
7/15(47%)
27/46(59%)
Yards / Pass
5.7
4.9
EPA / Pass
-0.03
-0.47
Rushing Yards
270
94
Rush Attempts
44
17
Yards / Rush
6.1
5.5
EPA / Rush
+0.17
+0.32
Downs & Conversions
1st Downs
13
23
Passing 1st downs
3
15
Rushing 1st downs
10
5
Penalty 1st downs
--
3
3rd Down %
50%
40%
3rd Down Conversions
8
4
3rd Down Attempts
16
10
Red Zone %
50%
100%
Red Zone Conversions
2
3
Red Zone Attempts
4
3
Negative Plays
Turnovers
0
6
Interceptions
0
5
Fumbles
0
1
Turnover EPA
--
-26.59
Sacks
1
2
Sack Yards
-5
-16
Sack EPA
-1.34
-6.12
Penalties
7
5
Penalty Yards
72
35
Penalty EPA
-5.25
-2.69
Game Preview
nfelo projected winner, spread pick, starting QB, matchup details, and trends as they were before the game
Model
Projected Winner
ARICardinalsFavored
Opening
-9.0
Current
-10.0
Model
-9.5
Win Probability
Market79.5%
Model78.4%
Spread Pick
Panthers+10.0
Expected Value
+3.7%
Cover Probability
50.0%
Projection Detail
nfelo Difference
+179
Home nfelo
1,558
Away nfelo
1,484
Home Field
+84.9
Base HFA
+62.5
Divisional Adj
--
Home Bye Adj
--
Away Bye Adj
--
Surface Adj
--
Time Adj
+22.4
Net QB Adjustment
+20.6
Home QB Adjustment
+2.8
Away QB Adjustment
-17.8
Market Regression
+7.5
Final Difference
224.3
Model Spread
-9.5
Quarterbacks
J. Delhomme
Proj. Value
-2.6
Team Elo Adj
-17.8
K. Warner
Proj. Value
+2.9
Team Elo Adj
+2.8
Team Matchup Ranks
Panthers Offense vs Cardinals Defense
Total
Points / Game
21
20
Yards / Game
19
24
Passing Yards / Game
22
20
Rushing Yards / Game
3
16
EPA
EPA / Play
22
15
EPA / Pass
22
15
EPA / Rush
8
16
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
11
28
Interceptions / Game
28
8
Fumbles / Game
13
26
Turnover EPA / Game
9
13
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
19
11
4th Down Efficiency
21
19
RZ Efficiency
18
18
Cardinals Offense vs Panthers Defense
Total
Points / Game
9
9
Yards / Game
12
8
Passing Yards / Game
8
3
Rushing Yards / Game
27
23
EPA
EPA / Play
17
6
EPA / Pass
13
4
EPA / Rush
19
23
Negative Plays
Sacks / Game
26
18
Interceptions / Game
17
6
Fumbles / Game
31
2
Turnover EPA / Game
5
29
Conversion
3rd Down Efficiency
22
6
4th Down Efficiency
13
21
RZ Efficiency
1
12
Recent Trends (Last 10 Games)
Panthers
4-6
SU
3-7
ATS
3-3-4
O/U
Cardinals
7-3
SU
8-2
ATS
1-5-4
O/U